President Donald Trump's March 27 speech declaring "Cuba is next" after U.S. military successes in Venezuela and Iran marks the latest escalation in bilateral tensions, amplifying trader focus on potential strikes. This follows a January oil blockade that triggered Cuba's nationwide blackouts and energy collapse, prompting Havana to publicly affirm military readiness against aggression while engaging in U.S. talks involving Raúl Castro, who Cuban President Díaz-Canel says is mediating. U.S. demands include Díaz-Canel's resignation, though a top general denied invasion preparations and Democrats introduced legislation blocking attacks. Ongoing diplomacy and humanitarian oil discussions could de-escalate, but rhetoric sustains uncertainty ahead of any confirmed drone, missile, or air strike on Cuban soil.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourFrappe américaine sur Cuba par… ?
Frappe américaine sur Cuba par… ?
$2,771,416 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
31 mars
2%
31 décembre
38%
$2,771,416 Vol.
31 mars
$1,467,287 Vol.
2%
31 décembre
$769,652 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.President Donald Trump's March 27 speech declaring "Cuba is next" after U.S. military successes in Venezuela and Iran marks the latest escalation in bilateral tensions, amplifying trader focus on potential strikes. This follows a January oil blockade that triggered Cuba's nationwide blackouts and energy collapse, prompting Havana to publicly affirm military readiness against aggression while engaging in U.S. talks involving Raúl Castro, who Cuban President Díaz-Canel says is mediating. U.S. demands include Díaz-Canel's resignation, though a top general denied invasion preparations and Democrats introduced legislation blocking attacks. Ongoing diplomacy and humanitarian oil discussions could de-escalate, but rhetoric sustains uncertainty ahead of any confirmed drone, missile, or air strike on Cuban soil.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Volume
$2,771,416Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.President Donald Trump's March 27 speech declaring "Cuba is next" after U.S. military successes in Venezuela and Iran marks the latest escalation in bilateral tensions, amplifying trader focus on potential strikes. This follows a January oil blockade that triggered Cuba's nationwide blackouts and energy collapse, prompting Havana to publicly affirm military readiness against aggression while engaging in U.S. talks involving Raúl Castro, who Cuban President Díaz-Canel says is mediating. U.S. demands include Díaz-Canel's resignation, though a top general denied invasion preparations and Democrats introduced legislation blocking attacks. Ongoing diplomacy and humanitarian oil discussions could de-escalate, but rhetoric sustains uncertainty ahead of any confirmed drone, missile, or air strike on Cuban soil.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$2,771,416Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's March 27 speech declaring "Cuba is next" after U.S. military successes in Venezuela and Iran marks the latest escalation in bilateral tensions, amplifying trader focus on potential strikes. This follows a January oil blockade that triggered Cuba's nationwide blackouts and energy collapse, prompting Havana to publicly affirm military readiness against aggression while engaging in U.S. talks involving Raúl Castro, who Cuban President Díaz-Canel says is mediating. U.S. demands include Díaz-Canel's resignation, though a top general denied invasion preparations and Democrats introduced legislation blocking attacks. Ongoing diplomacy and humanitarian oil discussions could de-escalate, but rhetoric sustains uncertainty ahead of any confirmed drone, missile, or air strike on Cuban soil.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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