Market icon

Les États-Unis évacuent l'ambassade de Bagdad d'ici le 31 janvier ?

Oui

3% chance

$107,896 Vol.

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.

Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.

The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volume
$107,896
Date de fin
Jan 31, 2026
Créé le
Jan 2, 2026, 9:37 PM ET

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Market icon

Les États-Unis évacuent l'ambassade de Bagdad d'ici le 31 janvier ?

Oui

3% chance

$107,896 Vol.

À propos

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.

Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.

The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volume
$107,896
Date de fin
Jan 31, 2026
Créé le
Jan 2, 2026, 9:37 PM ET

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.