Oui
$151,890 Vol.
$151,890 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Oui
$151,890 Vol.
$151,890 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US military downs any Iranian military drone by any means (including kinetic, jammer, etc.) by February 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any drone whose operation is broadly attributed to Iran by a consensus of credible reporting will be considered an “Iranian drone”, regardless of whether it can be definitively confirmed that the drone was operated by the Iranian government or military. Drones whose operation attributed to individuals or forces external to the Iranian military or government, however, including proxy forces, will not count, even if they are an Iran-designed or Iran-produced drone.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US military downs any Iranian military drone by any means (including kinetic, jammer, etc.) by February 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any drone whose operation is broadly attributed to Iran by a consensus of credible reporting will be considered an “Iranian drone”, regardless of whether it can be definitively confirmed that the drone was operated by the Iranian government or military. Drones whose operation attributed to individuals or forces external to the Iranian military or government, however, including proxy forces, will not count, even if they are an Iran-designed or Iran-produced drone.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any drone whose operation is broadly attributed to Iran by a consensus of credible reporting will be considered an “Iranian drone”, regardless of whether it can be definitively confirmed that the drone was operated by the Iranian government or military. Drones whose operation attributed to individuals or forces external to the Iranian military or government, however, including proxy forces, will not count, even if they are an Iran-designed or Iran-produced drone.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Créé le : Feb 6, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Volume
$151,890Date de fin
Feb 28, 2026Créé le
Feb 6, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US military downs any Iranian military drone by any means (including kinetic, jammer, etc.) by February 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any drone whose operation is broadly attributed to Iran by a consensus of credible reporting will be considered an “Iranian drone”, regardless of whether it can be definitively confirmed that the drone was operated by the Iranian government or military. Drones whose operation attributed to individuals or forces external to the Iranian military or government, however, including proxy forces, will not count, even if they are an Iran-designed or Iran-produced drone.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US military downs any Iranian military drone by any means (including kinetic, jammer, etc.) by February 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any drone whose operation is broadly attributed to Iran by a consensus of credible reporting will be considered an “Iranian drone”, regardless of whether it can be definitively confirmed that the drone was operated by the Iranian government or military. Drones whose operation attributed to individuals or forces external to the Iranian military or government, however, including proxy forces, will not count, even if they are an Iran-designed or Iran-produced drone.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any drone whose operation is broadly attributed to Iran by a consensus of credible reporting will be considered an “Iranian drone”, regardless of whether it can be definitively confirmed that the drone was operated by the Iranian government or military. Drones whose operation attributed to individuals or forces external to the Iranian military or government, however, including proxy forces, will not count, even if they are an Iran-designed or Iran-produced drone.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$151,890Date de fin
Feb 28, 2026Créé le
Feb 6, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui

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