Israel's limited airstrikes on Iranian military targets in late October 2024 deliberately spared nuclear facilities like Fordow, the fortified underground uranium enrichment site, signaling restraint amid US administration pressure to avoid broader escalation. IAEA reports from early November confirm Iran's continued production of near-weapons-grade uranium at Fordow, heightening tensions but not prompting strikes. Diplomatic channels remain open via Qatar-mediated talks on Gaza ceasefire, while proxy conflicts with Hezbollah persist. Trader consensus weighs US election outcomes, with a potential hawkish shift under Trump possibly altering deterrence postures; next IAEA board meeting later this month could spotlight violations, influencing military calculus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourFrappe américano-israélienne sur l'installation nucléaire de Fordow par... ?
Frappe américano-israélienne sur l'installation nucléaire de Fordow par... ?
$540,384 Vol.
31 mars
9%
$540,384 Vol.
31 mars
9%
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Feb 28, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Israel's limited airstrikes on Iranian military targets in late October 2024 deliberately spared nuclear facilities like Fordow, the fortified underground uranium enrichment site, signaling restraint amid US administration pressure to avoid broader escalation. IAEA reports from early November confirm Iran's continued production of near-weapons-grade uranium at Fordow, heightening tensions but not prompting strikes. Diplomatic channels remain open via Qatar-mediated talks on Gaza ceasefire, while proxy conflicts with Hezbollah persist. Trader consensus weighs US election outcomes, with a potential hawkish shift under Trump possibly altering deterrence postures; next IAEA board meeting later this month could spotlight violations, influencing military calculus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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