A federal judge's March 13 ruling quashed Department of Justice subpoenas targeting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, citing "essentially zero evidence" of misconduct tied to Fed building renovations and suggesting political pressure over interest rates, severely hobbling the Trump administration's probe launched in January. Recent March 26 hearings revealed DOJ admissions of lacking proof, fueling calls to drop it, yet President Trump insists on continuation, stalling his Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh's confirmation amid Senate holds. Powell vows to remain on the Fed board past his May chair term until resolved. Traders imply 52% consensus for dropping by June 30 versus 34% by April 30, balancing judicial barriers against executive persistence and nomination pressures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTrump abandonne l'enquête Powell par… ?
Trump abandonne l'enquête Powell par… ?
April 30
42%
30 juin
52%
$2,797 Vol.
April 30
42%
30 juin
52%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A federal judge's March 13 ruling quashed Department of Justice subpoenas targeting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, citing "essentially zero evidence" of misconduct tied to Fed building renovations and suggesting political pressure over interest rates, severely hobbling the Trump administration's probe launched in January. Recent March 26 hearings revealed DOJ admissions of lacking proof, fueling calls to drop it, yet President Trump insists on continuation, stalling his Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh's confirmation amid Senate holds. Powell vows to remain on the Fed board past his May chair term until resolved. Traders imply 52% consensus for dropping by June 30 versus 34% by April 30, balancing judicial barriers against executive persistence and nomination pressures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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