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SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8

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$518,658 Vol.

Mar 6, 2025
Polymarket

If the 8th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by March 6, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Volume
$518,658
Date de fin
Feb 24, 2025
Créé le
Jan 17, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
If the 8th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad by March 6, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "March 6" at 100%, followed by "Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8" has generated $518.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 17, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8" is "March 6" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8

YoutubeVideo LogoEnded

$518,658 Vol.

Polymarket

March 6

$36,782 Vol.

Yes

March 5

$32,572 Vol.

No

March 3

$29,191 Vol.

No

Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?

$118,751 Vol.

Yes

Reaches space?

$17,757 Vol.

Yes

Super Heavy explodes?

$42,048 Vol.

No

Super Heavy survives re-entry?

$18,612 Vol.

Yes

Trump attends launch?

$22,798 Vol.

No

Successful splash down?

$28,717 Vol.

No

Launch before March 15?

$33,283 Vol.

Yes

Launch before March?

$104,906 Vol.

No

Launch before April?

$33,242 Vol.

Yes

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "March 6" at 100%, followed by "Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8" has generated $518.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 17, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8" is "March 6" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.