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Candidat républicain à la présidence 2028

Market icon

Candidat républicain à la présidence 2028

J.D. Vance 41.6%

Marco Rubio 18.1%

Ron DeSantis 3.4%

Donald Trump 2.1%

Polymarket

$361,048,612 Vol.

J.D. Vance 41.6%

Marco Rubio 18.1%

Ron DeSantis 3.4%

Donald Trump 2.1%

Polymarket

$361,048,612 Vol.

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J.D. Vance

$4,925,119 Vol.

42%

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Marco Rubio

$4,868,833 Vol.

18%

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Ron DeSantis

$4,357,260 Vol.

3%

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Donald Trump

$4,952,715 Vol.

2%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$3,631,370 Vol.

2%

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Thomas Massie

$1,759,638 Vol.

2%

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Ted Cruz

$7,305,943 Vol.

2%

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Tucker Carlson

$2,925,302 Vol.

2%

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Glenn Youngkin

$4,119,083 Vol.

2%

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Ivanka Trump

$3,706,921 Vol.

2%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$10,720,500 Vol.

1%

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Brian Kemp

$7,845,514 Vol.

1%

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Rand Paul

$13,988,532 Vol.

1%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$7,716,636 Vol.

1%

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Elon Musk

$19,175,486 Vol.

1%

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Matt Gaetz

$13,471,969 Vol.

1%

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Nikki Haley

$4,930,768 Vol.

1%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$2,644,719 Vol.

1%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$19,296,869 Vol.

1%

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Byron Donalds

$15,748,749 Vol.

1%

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Titre d'élément de groupe: Josh Hawley

$11,593,782 Vol.

1%

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Katie Britt

$20,327,467 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$18,285,413 Vol.

1%

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Titre d'élément de groupe: Greg Abbott

$14,360,200 Vol.

1%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$9,152,627 Vol.

1%

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Tom Brady

$21,997,262 Vol.

1%

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Eric Trump

$1,596,759 Vol.

1%

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Élise Stefanik

$17,291,257 Vol.

1%

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Erika Kirk

$6,092,941 Vol.

1%

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John Thune

$23,563,789 Vol.

1%

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Kristi Noem

$21,239,064 Vol.

1%

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Mike Pence

$26,544,378 Vol.

1%

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Steve Bannon

$10,911,745 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$361,048,612
Date de fin
Nov 7, 2028
Marché ouvert
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidat républicain à la présidence 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 33 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 42%, followed by "Marco Rubio" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidat républicain à la présidence 2028" has generated $361 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidat républicain à la présidence 2028," browse the 33 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidat républicain à la présidence 2028" is "J.D. Vance" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidat républicain à la présidence 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.