Market icon

Crête de la dette nationale américaine avant 2027 ?

Market icon

Crête de la dette nationale américaine avant 2027 ?

Dec 31

Dec 31

NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$9,154 Vol.

Polymarket

39 000 milliards de dollars

$9,154 Vol.

99%

40 000 milliards de dollars

$0 Vol.

98%

41 000 milliards de dollars

$0 Vol.

52%

42 000 milliards de dollars

$0 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Volume
$9,154
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 2:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Crête de la dette nationale américaine avant 2027 ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "39 000 milliards de dollars" at 99%, followed by "40 000 milliards de dollars" at 98%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Crête de la dette nationale américaine avant 2027 ?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 5, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Crête de la dette nationale américaine avant 2027 ?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Crête de la dette nationale américaine avant 2027 ?" is "39 000 milliards de dollars" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40 000 milliards de dollars" at 98%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Crête de la dette nationale américaine avant 2027 ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.