OpenAI's trader consensus reflects a 74% implied probability of achieving a $1 trillion-plus valuation in 2026, driven primarily by its record $110 billion funding round in late February at an $840 billion post-money valuation—led by NVIDIA, SoftBank, and Amazon—followed by an extra $10 billion in March pushing it to around $850 billion. Surging annualized revenue topping $25 billion from enterprise adoption of GPT models and ChatGPT underscores this momentum, with forecasts now projecting $280 billion by 2030 amid competitive AI leadership. Key catalysts include a potential Q4 IPO, though high cash burn ($14 billion projected losses this year) and $600 billion compute commitments by decade's end temper full certainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Oui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's trader consensus reflects a 74% implied probability of achieving a $1 trillion-plus valuation in 2026, driven primarily by its record $110 billion funding round in late February at an $840 billion post-money valuation—led by NVIDIA, SoftBank, and Amazon—followed by an extra $10 billion in March pushing it to around $850 billion. Surging annualized revenue topping $25 billion from enterprise adoption of GPT models and ChatGPT underscores this momentum, with forecasts now projecting $280 billion by 2030 amid competitive AI leadership. Key catalysts include a potential Q4 IPO, though high cash burn ($14 billion projected losses this year) and $600 billion compute commitments by decade's end temper full certainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
Volume
$9,787Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's trader consensus reflects a 74% implied probability of achieving a $1 trillion-plus valuation in 2026, driven primarily by its record $110 billion funding round in late February at an $840 billion post-money valuation—led by NVIDIA, SoftBank, and Amazon—followed by an extra $10 billion in March pushing it to around $850 billion. Surging annualized revenue topping $25 billion from enterprise adoption of GPT models and ChatGPT underscores this momentum, with forecasts now projecting $280 billion by 2030 amid competitive AI leadership. Key catalysts include a potential Q4 IPO, though high cash burn ($14 billion projected losses this year) and $600 billion compute commitments by decade's end temper full certainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,787Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's trader consensus reflects a 74% implied probability of achieving a $1 trillion-plus valuation in 2026, driven primarily by its record $110 billion funding round in late February at an $840 billion post-money valuation—led by NVIDIA, SoftBank, and Amazon—followed by an extra $10 billion in March pushing it to around $850 billion. Surging annualized revenue topping $25 billion from enterprise adoption of GPT models and ChatGPT underscores this momentum, with forecasts now projecting $280 billion by 2030 amid competitive AI leadership. Key catalysts include a potential Q4 IPO, though high cash burn ($14 billion projected losses this year) and $600 billion compute commitments by decade's end temper full certainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes