Trader consensus on Polymarket for S&P 500 Q1 2026 additions reflects close scrutiny of eligibility criteria set by S&P Dow Jones Indices, including market capitalization exceeding $20.5 billion, average daily trading value over $4 million in the prior six months, positive GAAP earnings in the latest quarter and trailing four quarters, and U.S. domicile. Recent sentiment has shifted toward high-growth tech and fintech names like Super Micro Computer (SMCI) and Coinbase (COIN), buoyed by their surging market caps amid AI demand and crypto rally, though profitability consistency remains key—SMCI's latest earnings beat estimates while COIN reported record revenue. No official announcements yet; watch Q4 2025 earnings season and the March 2026 rebalance announcement for catalysts that could confirm or derail frontrunners, with committee discretion adding uncertainty to implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$967,977 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
SoFi Technologies (SOFI)
1%
Affirm Holdings (AFRM)
<1%
Pure Storage (PSTG)
<1%
Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR)
<1%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY)
<1%
$967,977 Vol.
SoFi Technologies (SOFI)
$260,864 Vol.
1%
Affirm Holdings (AFRM)
$152,527 Vol.
<1%
Pure Storage (PSTG)
$64,846 Vol.
<1%
Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR)
$342,952 Vol.
<1%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY)
$106,562 Vol.
<1%
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. The next rebalance is currently scheduled for March 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that the listed company will be added to the S&P 500 index by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the listed ticker must match the announced ticker added to the index.
An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).Trader consensus on Polymarket for S&P 500 Q1 2026 additions reflects close scrutiny of eligibility criteria set by S&P Dow Jones Indices, including market capitalization exceeding $20.5 billion, average daily trading value over $4 million in the prior six months, positive GAAP earnings in the latest quarter and trailing four quarters, and U.S. domicile. Recent sentiment has shifted toward high-growth tech and fintech names like Super Micro Computer (SMCI) and Coinbase (COIN), buoyed by their surging market caps amid AI demand and crypto rally, though profitability consistency remains key—SMCI's latest earnings beat estimates while COIN reported record revenue. No official announcements yet; watch Q4 2025 earnings season and the March 2026 rebalance announcement for catalysts that could confirm or derail frontrunners, with committee discretion adding uncertainty to implied probabilities.
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. The next rebalance is currently scheduled for March 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that the listed company will be added to the S&P 500 index by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the listed ticker must match the announced ticker added to the index.
An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that the listed company will be added to the S&P 500 index by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the listed ticker must match the announced ticker added to the index.
An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
Marché ouvert : Dec 17, 2025, 5:25 PM ET
Volume
$967,977Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 17, 2025, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. The next rebalance is currently scheduled for March 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that the listed company will be added to the S&P 500 index by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the listed ticker must match the announced ticker added to the index.
An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).Trader consensus on Polymarket for S&P 500 Q1 2026 additions reflects close scrutiny of eligibility criteria set by S&P Dow Jones Indices, including market capitalization exceeding $20.5 billion, average daily trading value over $4 million in the prior six months, positive GAAP earnings in the latest quarter and trailing four quarters, and U.S. domicile. Recent sentiment has shifted toward high-growth tech and fintech names like Super Micro Computer (SMCI) and Coinbase (COIN), buoyed by their surging market caps amid AI demand and crypto rally, though profitability consistency remains key—SMCI's latest earnings beat estimates while COIN reported record revenue. No official announcements yet; watch Q4 2025 earnings season and the March 2026 rebalance announcement for catalysts that could confirm or derail frontrunners, with committee discretion adding uncertainty to implied probabilities.
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. The next rebalance is currently scheduled for March 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that the listed company will be added to the S&P 500 index by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the listed ticker must match the announced ticker added to the index.
An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that the listed company will be added to the S&P 500 index by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the listed ticker must match the announced ticker added to the index.
An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
Volume
$967,977Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 17, 2025, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket for S&P 500 Q1 2026 additions reflects close scrutiny of eligibility criteria set by S&P Dow Jones Indices, including market capitalization exceeding $20.5 billion, average daily trading value over $4 million in the prior six months, positive GAAP earnings in the latest quarter and trailing four quarters, and U.S. domicile. Recent sentiment has shifted toward high-growth tech and fintech names like Super Micro Computer (SMCI) and Coinbase (COIN), buoyed by their surging market caps amid AI demand and crypto rally, though profitability consistency remains key—SMCI's latest earnings beat estimates while COIN reported record revenue. No official announcements yet; watch Q4 2025 earnings season and the March 2026 rebalance announcement for catalysts that could confirm or derail frontrunners, with committee discretion adding uncertainty to implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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