Oklahoma's solidly Republican electorate and partisan voting index underpin the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the 2026 U.S. Senate race. The seat opened after incumbent Markwayne Mullin resigned in March 2026 upon confirmation as secretary of homeland security, prompting Governor Stitt to appoint Alan Armstrong as interim senator who is ineligible for the full term. Multiple Republicans, including Kevin Hern, are competing in the June 16 primary while Democratic primary activity remains limited with no polling suggesting a competitive general-election challenger. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. A shift in odds would require an unusually strong Democratic nominee, significant late developments in the Republican field, or turnout patterns diverging sharply from historical baselines in this R+17 state.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$13,920 Vol.
$13,920 Vol.

Républicain
93%

Démocrate
7%
$13,920 Vol.
$13,920 Vol.

Républicain
93%

Démocrate
7%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's solidly Republican electorate and partisan voting index underpin the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the 2026 U.S. Senate race. The seat opened after incumbent Markwayne Mullin resigned in March 2026 upon confirmation as secretary of homeland security, prompting Governor Stitt to appoint Alan Armstrong as interim senator who is ineligible for the full term. Multiple Republicans, including Kevin Hern, are competing in the June 16 primary while Democratic primary activity remains limited with no polling suggesting a competitive general-election challenger. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican. A shift in odds would require an unusually strong Democratic nominee, significant late developments in the Republican field, or turnout patterns diverging sharply from historical baselines in this R+17 state.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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