Incumbent Democratic Governor Tim Walz commands trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for re-election in Minnesota's 2026 gubernatorial race, driven by his sustained mid-50s approval ratings post-vice presidential campaign and the state's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests. Recent polling averages show Walz leading potential Republican challengers like state Senator Mark Koran or others by 15-20 points, amid a thin GOP field lacking a standout recruit. No major shifts in the past week, with Walz focusing on state budget priorities and infrastructure wins. Though odds exceed 90%, a high-profile scandal, economic recession, formidable GOP primary winner, or national Republican wave could challenge this dominance before November 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Démocrate
93%
Républicain
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Démocrate
$0 Vol.
93%
Républicain
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Tim Walz commands trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for re-election in Minnesota's 2026 gubernatorial race, driven by his sustained mid-50s approval ratings post-vice presidential campaign and the state's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests. Recent polling averages show Walz leading potential Republican challengers like state Senator Mark Koran or others by 15-20 points, amid a thin GOP field lacking a standout recruit. No major shifts in the past week, with Walz focusing on state budget priorities and infrastructure wins. Though odds exceed 90%, a high-profile scandal, economic recession, formidable GOP primary winner, or national Republican wave could challenge this dominance before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Tim Walz commands trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for re-election in Minnesota's 2026 gubernatorial race, driven by his sustained mid-50s approval ratings post-vice presidential campaign and the state's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests. Recent polling averages show Walz leading potential Republican challengers like state Senator Mark Koran or others by 15-20 points, amid a thin GOP field lacking a standout recruit. No major shifts in the past week, with Walz focusing on state budget priorities and infrastructure wins. Though odds exceed 90%, a high-profile scandal, economic recession, formidable GOP primary winner, or national Republican wave could challenge this dominance before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Tim Walz commands trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for re-election in Minnesota's 2026 gubernatorial race, driven by his sustained mid-50s approval ratings post-vice presidential campaign and the state's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests. Recent polling averages show Walz leading potential Republican challengers like state Senator Mark Koran or others by 15-20 points, amid a thin GOP field lacking a standout recruit. No major shifts in the past week, with Walz focusing on state budget priorities and infrastructure wins. Though odds exceed 90%, a high-profile scandal, economic recession, formidable GOP primary winner, or national Republican wave could challenge this dominance before November 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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