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Politique·Culture

Number of TSA Passengers March 28?

Market icon
Politique·Culture

Number of TSA Passengers March 28?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

<2.6M 98.0%

2.6M-2.8M 1.6%

2.8M-3.0M <1%

3.0M-3.2M <1%

Polymarket

$8,083 Vol.

<2.6M 98.0%

2.6M-2.8M 1.6%

2.8M-3.0M <1%

3.0M-3.2M <1%

Polymarket

$8,083 Vol.

<2.6M

$727 Vol.

98%

2.6M-2.8M

$387 Vol.

2%

2.8M-3.0M

$3,391 Vol.

<1%

3.0M-3.2M

$1,198 Vol.

<1%

3.2M-3.4M

$1,343 Vol.

<1%

>3.4M

$1,036 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 28, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs under 2.6 million TSA passengers on March 28 at 98% implied probability, fueled by the government shutdown's escalation into week six, triggering widespread TSA staffing shortages—up to 40% callouts at major hubs—and security lines stretching four to five hours, as reported at airports like BWI and LAX. This chaos, compounded by 261 flight cancellations and over 3,000 delays on March 27, has deterred spring break stragglers on the Saturday post-peak, mirroring the prior Sunday's 2.49 million screening while recent weekdays hovered 2.2-2.7 million. ICE reinforcements aid logistics but not core screening, amplifying travel suppression. An upset above 2.6 million would require underestimated demand resilience or lighter-than-reported disruptions, though historical weekend dips and cumulative March 23-26 averages below 2.6 million daily reinforce the frontrunner ahead of Monday's official TSA release.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs under 2.6 million TSA passengers on March 28 at 98% implied probability, fueled by the government shutdown's escalation into week six, triggering widespread TSA staffing shortages—up to 40% callouts at major hubs—and security lines stretching four to five hours, as reported at airports like BWI and LAX. This chaos, compounded by 261 flight cancellations and over 3,000 delays on March 27, has deterred spring break stragglers on the Saturday post-peak, mirroring the prior Sunday's 2.49 million screening while recent weekdays hovered 2.2-2.7 million. ICE reinforcements aid logistics but not core screening, amplifying travel suppression. An upset above 2.6 million would require underestimated demand resilience or lighter-than-reported disruptions, though historical weekend dips and cumulative March 23-26 averages below 2.6 million daily reinforce the frontrunner ahead of Monday's official TSA release.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 28, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs under 2.6 million TSA passengers on March 28 at 98% implied probability, fueled by the government shutdown's escalation into week six, triggering widespread TSA staffing shortages—up to 40% callouts at major hubs—and security lines stretching four to five hours, as reported at airports like BWI and LAX. This chaos, compounded by 261 flight cancellations and over 3,000 delays on March 27, has deterred spring break stragglers on the Saturday post-peak, mirroring the prior Sunday's 2.49 million screening while recent weekdays hovered 2.2-2.7 million. ICE reinforcements aid logistics but not core screening, amplifying travel suppression. An upset above 2.6 million would require underestimated demand resilience or lighter-than-reported disruptions, though historical weekend dips and cumulative March 23-26 averages below 2.6 million daily reinforce the frontrunner ahead of Monday's official TSA release.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs under 2.6 million TSA passengers on March 28 at 98% implied probability, fueled by the government shutdown's escalation into week six, triggering widespread TSA staffing shortages—up to 40% callouts at major hubs—and security lines stretching four to five hours, as reported at airports like BWI and LAX. This chaos, compounded by 261 flight cancellations and over 3,000 delays on March 27, has deterred spring break stragglers on the Saturday post-peak, mirroring the prior Sunday's 2.49 million screening while recent weekdays hovered 2.2-2.7 million. ICE reinforcements aid logistics but not core screening, amplifying travel suppression. An upset above 2.6 million would require underestimated demand resilience or lighter-than-reported disruptions, though historical weekend dips and cumulative March 23-26 averages below 2.6 million daily reinforce the frontrunner ahead of Monday's official TSA release.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Number of TSA Passengers March 28? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « <2.6M » à 98%, suivi de « 2.6M-2.8M » à 2%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 98¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 98% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Number of TSA Passengers March 28? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 23, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Number of TSA Passengers March 28? », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Number of TSA Passengers March 28? » est « <2.6M » à 98%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 98% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 2.6M-2.8M » à 2%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Number of TSA Passengers March 28? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.