Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen maintains a double-digit lead over Republican challenger Vic Wilson in the latest polls, including a 53%-40% Emerson College survey from early October, driving trader consensus to 78.5% for a Democratic victory. Shaheen's advantages include superior fundraising—over $20 million raised versus Wilson's under $3 million—high name recognition, and New Hampshire's history of backing Democrats in federal races despite GOP control of the governorship. Wilson's September primary win has not narrowed the gap, with consistent polling deficits persisting amid steady early voting turnout. No major catalysts have shifted dynamics in recent weeks, though the November 5 general election remains the key resolution date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$15,418 Vol.
$15,418 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Démocrate
79%
Républicain
17%
$15,418 Vol.
$15,418 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Démocrate
$10,388 Vol.
79%
Républicain
$5,030 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen maintains a double-digit lead over Republican challenger Vic Wilson in the latest polls, including a 53%-40% Emerson College survey from early October, driving trader consensus to 78.5% for a Democratic victory. Shaheen's advantages include superior fundraising—over $20 million raised versus Wilson's under $3 million—high name recognition, and New Hampshire's history of backing Democrats in federal races despite GOP control of the governorship. Wilson's September primary win has not narrowed the gap, with consistent polling deficits persisting amid steady early voting turnout. No major catalysts have shifted dynamics in recent weeks, though the November 5 general election remains the key resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$15,418Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen maintains a double-digit lead over Republican challenger Vic Wilson in the latest polls, including a 53%-40% Emerson College survey from early October, driving trader consensus to 78.5% for a Democratic victory. Shaheen's advantages include superior fundraising—over $20 million raised versus Wilson's under $3 million—high name recognition, and New Hampshire's history of backing Democrats in federal races despite GOP control of the governorship. Wilson's September primary win has not narrowed the gap, with consistent polling deficits persisting amid steady early voting turnout. No major catalysts have shifted dynamics in recent weeks, though the November 5 general election remains the key resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$15,418Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen maintains a double-digit lead over Republican challenger Vic Wilson in the latest polls, including a 53%-40% Emerson College survey from early October, driving trader consensus to 78.5% for a Democratic victory. Shaheen's advantages include superior fundraising—over $20 million raised versus Wilson's under $3 million—high name recognition, and New Hampshire's history of backing Democrats in federal races despite GOP control of the governorship. Wilson's September primary win has not narrowed the gap, with consistent polling deficits persisting amid steady early voting turnout. No major catalysts have shifted dynamics in recent weeks, though the November 5 general election remains the key resolution date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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