Incumbent Rep. Don Davis (D) faces Republican challenger Laurie Buckhout in a rematch of their narrow 2024 contest, where Davis prevailed by just 1.7 points in a district now rated Lean Republican with a Cook PVI of R+1 following 2025 redistricting. Trader consensus tilts slightly toward the GOP at 42% amid Buckhout's primary win on March 3 and comparable fundraising—Davis holds a cash edge but trails in receipts—while the seat's status as one of 14 Democratic-held districts Donald Trump carried in 2024 underscores vulnerability. Absent post-primary polls, the race remains tightly contested; separation could emerge from early general surveys, endorsements, turnout among rural and military voters in eastern North Carolina, or midterm national headwinds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNC-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NC-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Parti républicain
48%
Parti démocrate
50%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Parti républicain
$0 Vol.
48%
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Don Davis (D) faces Republican challenger Laurie Buckhout in a rematch of their narrow 2024 contest, where Davis prevailed by just 1.7 points in a district now rated Lean Republican with a Cook PVI of R+1 following 2025 redistricting. Trader consensus tilts slightly toward the GOP at 42% amid Buckhout's primary win on March 3 and comparable fundraising—Davis holds a cash edge but trails in receipts—while the seat's status as one of 14 Democratic-held districts Donald Trump carried in 2024 underscores vulnerability. Absent post-primary polls, the race remains tightly contested; separation could emerge from early general surveys, endorsements, turnout among rural and military voters in eastern North Carolina, or midterm national headwinds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 4, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Don Davis (D) faces Republican challenger Laurie Buckhout in a rematch of their narrow 2024 contest, where Davis prevailed by just 1.7 points in a district now rated Lean Republican with a Cook PVI of R+1 following 2025 redistricting. Trader consensus tilts slightly toward the GOP at 42% amid Buckhout's primary win on March 3 and comparable fundraising—Davis holds a cash edge but trails in receipts—while the seat's status as one of 14 Democratic-held districts Donald Trump carried in 2024 underscores vulnerability. Absent post-primary polls, the race remains tightly contested; separation could emerge from early general surveys, endorsements, turnout among rural and military voters in eastern North Carolina, or midterm national headwinds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 4, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Don Davis (D) faces Republican challenger Laurie Buckhout in a rematch of their narrow 2024 contest, where Davis prevailed by just 1.7 points in a district now rated Lean Republican with a Cook PVI of R+1 following 2025 redistricting. Trader consensus tilts slightly toward the GOP at 42% amid Buckhout's primary win on March 3 and comparable fundraising—Davis holds a cash edge but trails in receipts—while the seat's status as one of 14 Democratic-held districts Donald Trump carried in 2024 underscores vulnerability. Absent post-primary polls, the race remains tightly contested; separation could emerge from early general surveys, endorsements, turnout among rural and military voters in eastern North Carolina, or midterm national headwinds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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