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Tech·Big Tech

NASA Artemis II

Market icon
Tech·Big Tech

NASA Artemis II

$678,660 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$678,660 Vol.

Polymarket

31 mars

$185,896 Vol.

<1%

30 avril

$114,064 Vol.

77%

If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed flight of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on timely execution. Recent catalysts include the SLS-Orion stack's final rollout to the pad on March 20, crew arrival and quarantine initiation last week, and NASA's release of the detailed launch countdown timeline this week, confirming readiness for the 10-day lunar flyby testing deep-space life support, navigation, and heat shield systems. The four-person crew—Reid Wiseman, Victor Glover, Christina Koch, and Jeremy Hansen—will validate human-rated capabilities paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Key watchpoints: propellant tanking on April 1 and potential weather-driven slips within the April 1-6 window.

NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed flight of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on timely execution. Recent catalysts include the SLS-Orion stack's final rollout to the pad on March 20, crew arrival and quarantine initiation last week, and NASA's release of the detailed launch countdown timeline this week, confirming readiness for the 10-day lunar flyby testing deep-space life support, navigation, and heat shield systems. The four-person crew—Reid Wiseman, Victor Glover, Christina Koch, and Jeremy Hansen—will validate human-rated capabilities paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Key watchpoints: propellant tanking on April 1 and potential weather-driven slips within the April 1-6 window.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed flight of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on timely execution. Recent catalysts include the SLS-Orion stack's final rollout to the pad on March 20, crew arrival and quarantine initiation last week, and NASA's release of the detailed launch countdown timeline this week, confirming readiness for the 10-day lunar flyby testing deep-space life support, navigation, and heat shield systems. The four-person crew—Reid Wiseman, Victor Glover, Christina Koch, and Jeremy Hansen—will validate human-rated capabilities paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Key watchpoints: propellant tanking on April 1 and potential weather-driven slips within the April 1-6 window.

NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed flight of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on timely execution. Recent catalysts include the SLS-Orion stack's final rollout to the pad on March 20, crew arrival and quarantine initiation last week, and NASA's release of the detailed launch countdown timeline this week, confirming readiness for the 10-day lunar flyby testing deep-space life support, navigation, and heat shield systems. The four-person crew—Reid Wiseman, Victor Glover, Christina Koch, and Jeremy Hansen—will validate human-rated capabilities paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Key watchpoints: propellant tanking on April 1 and potential weather-driven slips within the April 1-6 window.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« NASA Artemis II » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 30 avril » à 78%, suivi de « 31 mars » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 78¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 78% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « NASA Artemis II » a généré $678.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 20, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « NASA Artemis II », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « NASA Artemis II » est « 30 avril » à 78%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 78% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 31 mars » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « NASA Artemis II » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.