**US and Israeli airstrikes against Iran under Operation Epic Fury continue unabated into the conflict's second month since launching on February 28, 2026, targeting missile production sites, drone facilities, naval assets, and oil infrastructure like Kharg Island, significantly degrading Tehran's retaliatory capabilities amid ongoing Iranian missile and drone barrages.** On March 28, the Institute for the Study of War reported sustained strikes eroding Iran's missile launch ability, while Israeli officials stated on March 29 that their campaign is nearly complete; however, President Trump suggested potential US ground seizure of Kharg Island today, signaling possible escalation. Iran is reviewing a US-mediated proposal to end hostilities announced March 25, but no ceasefire is in place, with Houthi involvement broadening the theater. Traders weigh diplomatic progress against persistent military operations and risks of ground actions or Strait of Hormuz disruptions ahead of any resolution timeline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMilitary action against Iran ends by...?
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$245,993 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
March 30
<1%
March 31
1%
15 avril
20%
30 avril
38%
31 mai
75%
30 juin
84%
$245,993 Vol.
March 30
$24,586 Vol.
<1%
March 31
$105,582 Vol.
1%
15 avril
$6,044 Vol.
20%
30 avril
$5,003 Vol.
38%
31 mai
$2,773 Vol.
75%
30 juin
$386 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**US and Israeli airstrikes against Iran under Operation Epic Fury continue unabated into the conflict's second month since launching on February 28, 2026, targeting missile production sites, drone facilities, naval assets, and oil infrastructure like Kharg Island, significantly degrading Tehran's retaliatory capabilities amid ongoing Iranian missile and drone barrages.** On March 28, the Institute for the Study of War reported sustained strikes eroding Iran's missile launch ability, while Israeli officials stated on March 29 that their campaign is nearly complete; however, President Trump suggested potential US ground seizure of Kharg Island today, signaling possible escalation. Iran is reviewing a US-mediated proposal to end hostilities announced March 25, but no ceasefire is in place, with Houthi involvement broadening the theater. Traders weigh diplomatic progress against persistent military operations and risks of ground actions or Strait of Hormuz disruptions ahead of any resolution timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 13, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Volume
$245,993Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 13, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**US and Israeli airstrikes against Iran under Operation Epic Fury continue unabated into the conflict's second month since launching on February 28, 2026, targeting missile production sites, drone facilities, naval assets, and oil infrastructure like Kharg Island, significantly degrading Tehran's retaliatory capabilities amid ongoing Iranian missile and drone barrages.** On March 28, the Institute for the Study of War reported sustained strikes eroding Iran's missile launch ability, while Israeli officials stated on March 29 that their campaign is nearly complete; however, President Trump suggested potential US ground seizure of Kharg Island today, signaling possible escalation. Iran is reviewing a US-mediated proposal to end hostilities announced March 25, but no ceasefire is in place, with Houthi involvement broadening the theater. Traders weigh diplomatic progress against persistent military operations and risks of ground actions or Strait of Hormuz disruptions ahead of any resolution timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$245,993Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 13, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
**US and Israeli airstrikes against Iran under Operation Epic Fury continue unabated into the conflict's second month since launching on February 28, 2026, targeting missile production sites, drone facilities, naval assets, and oil infrastructure like Kharg Island, significantly degrading Tehran's retaliatory capabilities amid ongoing Iranian missile and drone barrages.** On March 28, the Institute for the Study of War reported sustained strikes eroding Iran's missile launch ability, while Israeli officials stated on March 29 that their campaign is nearly complete; however, President Trump suggested potential US ground seizure of Kharg Island today, signaling possible escalation. Iran is reviewing a US-mediated proposal to end hostilities announced March 25, but no ceasefire is in place, with Houthi involvement broadening the theater. Traders weigh diplomatic progress against persistent military operations and risks of ground actions or Strait of Hormuz disruptions ahead of any resolution timeline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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