Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win Maryland's 7th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's extreme partisan lean—Cook PVI D+31—and incumbent Rep. Kweisi Mfume's strong reelection bid amid a historically lopsided electorate centered in Baltimore. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, with recent candidate filing lists confirming multiple Democratic primary contenders but no standout Republican threat ahead of the June 23 primary. This commanding position aligns with historical precedents in safe Democratic strongholds, where incumbency and base turnout dominate. Realistic challenges would require a disruptive Democratic primary upset yielding a weakened nominee, Mfume scandal, or extraordinary national midterm wave favoring Republicans, though structural barriers remain high.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MD-07
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MD-07
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win Maryland's 7th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's extreme partisan lean—Cook PVI D+31—and incumbent Rep. Kweisi Mfume's strong reelection bid amid a historically lopsided electorate centered in Baltimore. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, with recent candidate filing lists confirming multiple Democratic primary contenders but no standout Republican threat ahead of the June 23 primary. This commanding position aligns with historical precedents in safe Democratic strongholds, where incumbency and base turnout dominate. Realistic challenges would require a disruptive Democratic primary upset yielding a weakened nominee, Mfume scandal, or extraordinary national midterm wave favoring Republicans, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win Maryland's 7th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's extreme partisan lean—Cook PVI D+31—and incumbent Rep. Kweisi Mfume's strong reelection bid amid a historically lopsided electorate centered in Baltimore. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, with recent candidate filing lists confirming multiple Democratic primary contenders but no standout Republican threat ahead of the June 23 primary. This commanding position aligns with historical precedents in safe Democratic strongholds, where incumbency and base turnout dominate. Realistic challenges would require a disruptive Democratic primary upset yielding a weakened nominee, Mfume scandal, or extraordinary national midterm wave favoring Republicans, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win Maryland's 7th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's extreme partisan lean—Cook PVI D+31—and incumbent Rep. Kweisi Mfume's strong reelection bid amid a historically lopsided electorate centered in Baltimore. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, with recent candidate filing lists confirming multiple Democratic primary contenders but no standout Republican threat ahead of the June 23 primary. This commanding position aligns with historical precedents in safe Democratic strongholds, where incumbency and base turnout dominate. Realistic challenges would require a disruptive Democratic primary upset yielding a weakened nominee, Mfume scandal, or extraordinary national midterm wave favoring Republicans, though structural barriers remain high.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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