NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center forecasts drive the 64.5% "No" odds, projecting only unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions (Kp index up to 4) through March 28, far below major event thresholds like G3+ storms or X-class flares. Current solar conditions feature moderate sunspot activity from regions like AR3605, but recent M-class flares produced no Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs), per verified coronagraph imagery. After early March's G4 storm, activity has quieted, with 27-day outlooks showing low radio blackouts and auroral risk. Traders weigh this against inherent forecast uncertainty, awaiting daily SWPC updates amid a declining solar rotation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourÉvénement météorologique spatial majeur cette semaine ? (22-28 mars)
Événement météorologique spatial majeur cette semaine ? (22-28 mars)
Oui
NEW
NEW
Mar 28, 2026
Oui
NEW
NEW
Mar 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a geomagnetic storm, solar radiation storm, or radio blackout with a severity level of 3 or greater occurs between March 22, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 28, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a geomagnetic storm, solar radiation storm, or radio blackout with a severity level of 3 or greater occurs between March 22, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 28, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if a geomagnetic storm, solar radiation storm, or radio blackout with a severity level of 3 or greater occurs between March 22, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 28, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Marché ouvert : Mar 16, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volume
$2,395Date de fin
Mar 28, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 16, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a geomagnetic storm, solar radiation storm, or radio blackout with a severity level of 3 or greater occurs between March 22, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 28, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a geomagnetic storm, solar radiation storm, or radio blackout with a severity level of 3 or greater occurs between March 22, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 28, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if a geomagnetic storm, solar radiation storm, or radio blackout with a severity level of 3 or greater occurs between March 22, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 28, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$2,395Date de fin
Mar 28, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 16, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center forecasts drive the 64.5% "No" odds, projecting only unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions (Kp index up to 4) through March 28, far below major event thresholds like G3+ storms or X-class flares. Current solar conditions feature moderate sunspot activity from regions like AR3605, but recent M-class flares produced no Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs), per verified coronagraph imagery. After early March's G4 storm, activity has quieted, with 27-day outlooks showing low radio blackouts and auroral risk. Traders weigh this against inherent forecast uncertainty, awaiting daily SWPC updates amid a declining solar rotation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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