SpaceX's confidential IPO filing on April 1 has driven trader consensus to a 95% implied probability for its public listing before 2027, potentially the largest ever at a $1.75 trillion valuation and $40-80 billion raise amid surging demand for space tech and AI infrastructure. Cerebras follows at 88%, fueled by AI chip advancements positioning it against Nvidia dominance, while WHOOP (94%) and Discord (62%) reflect strong fitness wearable adoption and platform engagement growth. Lower odds for OpenAI (39%) and Anthropic (43%) stem from regulatory hurdles on large language models, with Databricks (32%) and Stripe (17%) tempered by recent debt raises reducing urgency. Watch SpaceX's mid-June roadshow and S-1 disclosures for volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$5,334,330 Vol.

SpaceX
95%

Cerebras
88%

Discord
62%

WHOOP
48%

Anthropic
44%

OpenAI
39%

Ledger
35%

Deel
34%

Databricks
32%

SHEIN
28%

Canva
26%

À distance
23%

Anduril Industries
22%

Applied Intuition
22%

Anduril
21%

Glean
20%

Waymo
19%

Epic Games
19%

Anysphere (Cursor)
17%

ByteDance
17%

Revolut
17%

Freddie Mac
17%

Stripe
17%

Celonis
16%

Vanta
16%

Mistral AI
16%

Fannie Mae
15%

Rippling
14%

Ripple Labs
14%

Ramp
13%

Brex
12%
$5,334,330 Vol.

SpaceX
95%

Cerebras
88%

Discord
62%

WHOOP
48%

Anthropic
44%

OpenAI
39%

Ledger
35%

Deel
34%

Databricks
32%

SHEIN
28%

Canva
26%

À distance
23%

Anduril Industries
22%

Applied Intuition
22%

Anduril
21%

Glean
20%

Waymo
19%

Epic Games
19%

Anysphere (Cursor)
17%

ByteDance
17%

Revolut
17%

Freddie Mac
17%

Stripe
17%

Celonis
16%

Vanta
16%

Mistral AI
16%

Fannie Mae
15%

Rippling
14%

Ripple Labs
14%

Ramp
13%

Brex
12%
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX's confidential IPO filing on April 1 has driven trader consensus to a 95% implied probability for its public listing before 2027, potentially the largest ever at a $1.75 trillion valuation and $40-80 billion raise amid surging demand for space tech and AI infrastructure. Cerebras follows at 88%, fueled by AI chip advancements positioning it against Nvidia dominance, while WHOOP (94%) and Discord (62%) reflect strong fitness wearable adoption and platform engagement growth. Lower odds for OpenAI (39%) and Anthropic (43%) stem from regulatory hurdles on large language models, with Databricks (32%) and Stripe (17%) tempered by recent debt raises reducing urgency. Watch SpaceX's mid-June roadshow and S-1 disclosures for volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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