Combien de lancements de Starship de SpaceX atteindront l'espace en 2026 ?
5-6 35%
7-8 26%
9-10 14%
<5 11%
$53,786 Vol.
$53,786 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<5
$1,484 Vol.
11%
<5
$1,484 Vol.
11%
5-6
$1,374 Vol.
35%
5-6
$1,374 Vol.
35%
7-8
$45,076 Vol.
26%
7-8
$45,076 Vol.
26%
9-10
$1,191 Vol.
14%
9-10
$1,191 Vol.
14%
11-12
$1,252 Vol.
10%
11-12
$1,252 Vol.
10%
13-14
$1,176 Vol.
6%
13-14
$1,176 Vol.
6%
15-16
$1,195 Vol.
6%
15-16
$1,195 Vol.
6%
>16
$1,038 Vol.
4%
>16
$1,038 Vol.
4%
Règles
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Créé le : Dec 11, 2025, 7:39 PM ET
Volume
$53,786Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Créé le
Dec 11, 2025, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Combien de lancements de Starship de SpaceX atteindront l'espace en 2026 ?
5-6 35%
7-8 26%
9-10 14%
<5 11%
$53,786 Vol.
$53,786 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<5
$1,484 Vol.
11%
5-6
$1,374 Vol.
35%
7-8
$45,076 Vol.
26%
9-10
$1,191 Vol.
14%
11-12
$1,252 Vol.
10%
13-14
$1,176 Vol.
6%
15-16
$1,195 Vol.
6%
>16
$1,038 Vol.
4%
À propos
Volume
$53,786Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Créé le
Dec 11, 2025, 7:39 PM ETResolver
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