Combien de temps durera la fermeture du gouvernement ?
5 days
$13,034,640 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
4 jours ou plus
$2,708,740 Vol.
99%
4 jours ou plus
$2,708,740 Vol.
99%
5 jours ou plus
$1,114,707 Vol.
56%
5 jours ou plus
$1,114,707 Vol.
56%
6+ jours
$210,967 Vol.
29%
6+ jours
$210,967 Vol.
29%
7 jours ou plus
$1,228,635 Vol.
14%
7 jours ou plus
$1,228,635 Vol.
14%
10+ jours
$530,136 Vol.
10%
10+ jours
$530,136 Vol.
10%
14 jours ou plus
$757,474 Vol.
6%
14 jours ou plus
$757,474 Vol.
6%
30+ jours
$627,141 Vol.
2%
30+ jours
$627,141 Vol.
2%
60+ jours
$296,849 Vol.
1%
60+ jours
$296,849 Vol.
1%
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government is shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government is shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Créé le : Jan 24, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volume
$13,034,640Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Créé le
Jan 24, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Combien de temps durera la fermeture du gouvernement ?
5 days
$13,034,640 Vol.
4 jours ou plus
$2,708,740 Vol.
99%
5 jours ou plus
$1,114,707 Vol.
56%
6+ jours
$210,967 Vol.
29%
7 jours ou plus
$1,228,635 Vol.
14%
10+ jours
$530,136 Vol.
10%
14 jours ou plus
$757,474 Vol.
6%
30+ jours
$627,141 Vol.
2%
60+ jours
$296,849 Vol.
1%
À propos
Volume
$13,034,640Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Créé le
Jan 24, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.