Combien de temps durera la fermeture du gouvernement ?
5 days
$12,206,550 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
4 jours ou plus
$2,325,517 Vol.
99%
4 jours ou plus
$2,325,517 Vol.
99%
5 jours ou plus
$904,837 Vol.
60%
5 jours ou plus
$904,837 Vol.
60%
6+ jours
$160,339 Vol.
37%
6+ jours
$160,339 Vol.
37%
7 jours ou plus
$1,158,470 Vol.
20%
7 jours ou plus
$1,158,470 Vol.
20%
10+ jours
$449,932 Vol.
11%
10+ jours
$449,932 Vol.
11%
14 jours ou plus
$726,953 Vol.
5%
14 jours ou plus
$726,953 Vol.
5%
30+ jours
$612,979 Vol.
2%
30+ jours
$612,979 Vol.
2%
60+ jours
$291,941 Vol.
1%
60+ jours
$291,941 Vol.
1%
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government is shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government is shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Créé le : Jan 30, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Volume
$12,206,550Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Créé le
Jan 30, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Combien de temps durera la fermeture du gouvernement ?
5 days
$12,206,550 Vol.
4 jours ou plus
$2,325,517 Vol.
99%
5 jours ou plus
$904,837 Vol.
60%
6+ jours
$160,339 Vol.
37%
7 jours ou plus
$1,158,470 Vol.
20%
10+ jours
$449,932 Vol.
11%
14 jours ou plus
$726,953 Vol.
5%
30+ jours
$612,979 Vol.
2%
60+ jours
$291,941 Vol.
1%
À propos
Volume
$12,206,550Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Créé le
Jan 30, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
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