Combien de temps durera la fermeture du gouvernement ?
Combien de temps durera la fermeture du gouvernement ?
$23,495,074 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
1+ jour
Oui
2 jours ou plus
Oui
3+ jours
Oui
4 jours ou plus
Oui
5 jours ou plus
Non
6+ jours
Non
10+ jours
Non
7 jours ou plus
Non
14 jours ou plus
Non
30+ jours
Non
60+ jours
Non
$23,495,074 Vol.
1+ jour
$2,164,197 Vol.
Oui
2 jours ou plus
$424,934 Vol.
Oui
3+ jours
$2,986,464 Vol.
Oui
4 jours ou plus
$4,389,036 Vol.
Oui
5 jours ou plus
$6,260,856 Vol.
Non
6+ jours
$1,251,150 Vol.
Non
10+ jours
$1,238,745 Vol.
Non
7 jours ou plus
$2,275,570 Vol.
Non
14 jours ou plus
$1,157,027 Vol.
Non
30+ jours
$933,496 Vol.
Non
60+ jours
$413,600 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government is shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government is shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Créé le : Jan 24, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volume
$23,495,074Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Créé le
Jan 24, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Frequently Asked Questions