Combien de temps durera la fermeture du gouvernement ?
5 days
$11,258,309 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
4 jours ou plus
$1,890,251 Vol.
98%
4 jours ou plus
$1,890,251 Vol.
98%
5 jours ou plus
$778,594 Vol.
46%
5 jours ou plus
$778,594 Vol.
46%
6+ jours
$68,149 Vol.
20%
6+ jours
$68,149 Vol.
20%
7 jours ou plus
$1,052,808 Vol.
11%
7 jours ou plus
$1,052,808 Vol.
11%
10+ jours
$320,378 Vol.
5%
10+ jours
$320,378 Vol.
5%
14 jours ou plus
$690,747 Vol.
4%
14 jours ou plus
$690,747 Vol.
4%
30+ jours
$597,811 Vol.
1%
30+ jours
$597,811 Vol.
1%
60+ jours
$288,287 Vol.
1%
60+ jours
$288,287 Vol.
1%
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government is shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government is shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Créé le : Jan 30, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Volume
$11,258,309Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Créé le
Jan 30, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Combien de temps durera la fermeture du gouvernement ?
5 days
$11,258,309 Vol.
4 jours ou plus
$1,890,251 Vol.
98%
5 jours ou plus
$778,594 Vol.
46%
6+ jours
$68,149 Vol.
20%
7 jours ou plus
$1,052,808 Vol.
11%
10+ jours
$320,378 Vol.
5%
14 jours ou plus
$690,747 Vol.
4%
30+ jours
$597,811 Vol.
1%
60+ jours
$288,287 Vol.
1%
À propos
Volume
$11,258,309Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Créé le
Jan 30, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
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