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Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?

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Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?

24°C 100.0%

15°C or below <1%

16°C <1%

17°C <1%

Polymarket

$59,927 Vol.

24°C 100.0%

15°C or below <1%

16°C <1%

17°C <1%

Polymarket

$59,927 Vol.

15°C or below

$0 Vol.

No

16°C

$3,268 Vol.

No

17°C

$2,284 Vol.

No

18°C

$4,756 Vol.

No

19°C

$5,162 Vol.

No

20°C

$4,257 Vol.

No

21°C

$3,115 Vol.

No

22°C

$7,177 Vol.

No

23°C

$9,217 Vol.

No

24°C

$12,087 Vol.

Yes

25°C or higher

$8,604 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a high of exactly 24°C in Wuhan on March 27, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by the latest forecast model ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), which converge on this peak amid mild spring conditions featuring light southerly winds and partial cloud cover capping daytime heating. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration aligns, showing current surface observations trending 1-2°C below recent averages, with no signals of intensification from upper-air patterns or frontal boundaries. This positioning reflects strong scientific agreement, though rare scenarios like a sudden clear-sky surge or localized urban heat island amplification could push toward 25°C or higher; hourly updates from monitoring stations will provide definitive data as the date progresses.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a high of exactly 24°C in Wuhan on March 27, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by the latest forecast model ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), which converge on this peak amid mild spring conditions featuring light southerly winds and partial cloud cover capping daytime heating. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration aligns, showing current surface observations trending 1-2°C below recent averages, with no signals of intensification from upper-air patterns or frontal boundaries. This positioning reflects strong scientific agreement, though rare scenarios like a sudden clear-sky surge or localized urban heat island amplification could push toward 25°C or higher; hourly updates from monitoring stations will provide definitive data as the date progresses.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a high of exactly 24°C in Wuhan on March 27, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by the latest forecast model ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), which converge on this peak amid mild spring conditions featuring light southerly winds and partial cloud cover capping daytime heating. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration aligns, showing current surface observations trending 1-2°C below recent averages, with no signals of intensification from upper-air patterns or frontal boundaries. This positioning reflects strong scientific agreement, though rare scenarios like a sudden clear-sky surge or localized urban heat island amplification could push toward 25°C or higher; hourly updates from monitoring stations will provide definitive data as the date progresses.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a high of exactly 24°C in Wuhan on March 27, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by the latest forecast model ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), which converge on this peak amid mild spring conditions featuring light southerly winds and partial cloud cover capping daytime heating. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration aligns, showing current surface observations trending 1-2°C below recent averages, with no signals of intensification from upper-air patterns or frontal boundaries. This positioning reflects strong scientific agreement, though rare scenarios like a sudden clear-sky surge or localized urban heat island amplification could push toward 25°C or higher; hourly updates from monitoring stations will provide definitive data as the date progresses.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 24°C » à 100%, suivi de « 15°C or below » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27? » a généré $59.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 23, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27? » est « 24°C » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 15°C or below » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.