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Highest temperature in Wellington on March 28?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Wellington on March 28?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

21°C 38%

22°C 31%

20°C 24%

23°C or higher 5.5%

Polymarket

$360,258 Vol.

21°C 38%

22°C 31%

20°C 24%

23°C or higher 5.5%

Polymarket

$360,258 Vol.

20°C

$7,220 Vol.

24%

21°C

$4,147 Vol.

38%

22°C

$11,209 Vol.

31%

23°C or higher

$6,367 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast models for Wellington project a high of 21°C on March 28 under a stable high-pressure ridge bringing settled autumn conditions, driving trader consensus with 41% implied probability on that outcome. Supporting data from recent observations show daytime maxima hovering around 20-22°C this week amid light southerlies and clear skies, aligning with seasonal norms where March averages 19.5°C but recent mild air masses have nudged expectations upward slightly from earlier cooler projections. Forecast ensembles indicate low intensification risk, keeping 23°C+ at just 6%, though small uncertainties in overnight cooling or cloud cover could shift the peak by 1°C; updated guidance expected midday March 27. Historical analogs for similar setups confirm 20-22°C as the modal range for late March in the region.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$360,258
Date de fin
Mar 28, 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast models for Wellington project a high of 21°C on March 28 under a stable high-pressure ridge bringing settled autumn conditions, driving trader consensus with 41% implied probability on that outcome. Supporting data from recent observations show daytime maxima hovering around 20-22°C this week amid light southerlies and clear skies, aligning with seasonal norms where March averages 19.5°C but recent mild air masses have nudged expectations upward slightly from earlier cooler projections. Forecast ensembles indicate low intensification risk, keeping 23°C+ at just 6%, though small uncertainties in overnight cooling or cloud cover could shift the peak by 1°C; updated guidance expected midday March 27. Historical analogs for similar setups confirm 20-22°C as the modal range for late March in the region.

MetService's latest forecast models for Wellington project a high of 21°C on March 28 under a stable high-pressure ridge bringing settled autumn conditions, driving trader consensus with 41% implied probability on that outcome. Supporting data from recent observations show daytime maxima hovering around 20-22°C this week amid light southerlies and clear skies, aligning with seasonal norms where March averages 19.5°C but recent mild air masses have nudged expectations upward slightly from earlier cooler projections. Forecast ensembles indicate low intensification risk, keeping 23°C+ at just 6%, though small uncertainties in overnight cooling or cloud cover could shift the peak by 1°C; updated guidance expected midday March 27. Historical analogs for similar setups confirm 20-22°C as the modal range for late March in the region.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Wellington on March 28? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 21°C » à 38%, suivi de « 22°C » à 31%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 38¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 38% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in Wellington on March 28? » a généré $360.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 24, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Wellington on March 28? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Wellington on March 28? » est « 21°C » à 38%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 38% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 22°C » à 31%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Wellington on March 28? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.