Trader consensus pins NYC's highest temperature on March 22 at 56-57°F, driven by National Weather Service forecasts projecting a high of 56°F under persistent cool northerly flow and light cloud cover. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF converge on this range, reflecting seasonal norms—March averages hover around 52°F historically—with minimal divergence signaling low uncertainty. Supporting data includes recent soundings showing stable boundary layers capping warmth. Realistic challenges include a sudden southerly wind shift or frontal breakdown, potentially boosting highs to 60°F+, though probabilities remain under 1% per model spreads.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à New York le 22 mars ?
Température la plus élevée à New York le 22 mars ?
56-57 °F 100.0%
53°F ou moins <1%
54-55°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
53°F ou moins
Non
54-55°F
Non
56-57 °F
Oui
58-59°F
Non
60-61 °F
Non
62-63°F
Non
64-65 °F
Non
66-67°F
Non
68-69°F
Non
70-71°F
Non
72°F ou plus
Non
56-57 °F 100.0%
53°F ou moins <1%
54-55°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
53°F ou moins
Non
54-55°F
Non
56-57 °F
Oui
58-59°F
Non
60-61 °F
Non
62-63°F
Non
64-65 °F
Non
66-67°F
Non
68-69°F
Non
70-71°F
Non
72°F ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus pins NYC's highest temperature on March 22 at 56-57°F, driven by National Weather Service forecasts projecting a high of 56°F under persistent cool northerly flow and light cloud cover. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF converge on this range, reflecting seasonal norms—March averages hover around 52°F historically—with minimal divergence signaling low uncertainty. Supporting data includes recent soundings showing stable boundary layers capping warmth. Realistic challenges include a sudden southerly wind shift or frontal breakdown, potentially boosting highs to 60°F+, though probabilities remain under 1% per model spreads.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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