National Weather Service forecasts call for a high near 82°F at Miami International Airport on March 29 under mostly sunny skies with east winds 10-15 mph, yet trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 76-79°F ranges at over 60% combined implied probability, reflecting ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF showing variability in peak afternoon heating. Persistent easterly flow enhances sea breeze circulation, promoting boundary layer mixing and coastal cooling that historically caps late-March highs 2-5°F below climatological normals of 82°F. Key differentiators include timing of sea breeze onset—earlier encroachment favors lower bins—and minor 500 mb height discrepancies across models. Overnight model updates and diurnally timed observations will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official KMIA measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Miami on March 29?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 29?
76-77°F 33%
78-79°F 33%
80-81°F 22%
74-75°F 7.1%
$31,659 Vol.
$31,659 Vol.
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 33%
78-79°F 33%
80-81°F 22%
74-75°F 7.1%
$31,659 Vol.
$31,659 Vol.
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts call for a high near 82°F at Miami International Airport on March 29 under mostly sunny skies with east winds 10-15 mph, yet trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 76-79°F ranges at over 60% combined implied probability, reflecting ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF showing variability in peak afternoon heating. Persistent easterly flow enhances sea breeze circulation, promoting boundary layer mixing and coastal cooling that historically caps late-March highs 2-5°F below climatological normals of 82°F. Key differentiators include timing of sea breeze onset—earlier encroachment favors lower bins—and minor 500 mb height discrepancies across models. Overnight model updates and diurnally timed observations will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official KMIA measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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