Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 15°C as London's highest temperature on March 23, driven by the UK Met Office's latest forecast models projecting a daytime maximum of exactly 15°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns with ensemble predictions from ECMWF and GFS, which show tight clustering around 14-16°C amid a mild Atlantic airflow, consistent with March's climatological average high of 11-12°C but elevated by recent high-pressure influences. Supporting evidence includes real-time observations from Heathrow and Gatwick stations trending 1-2°C below recent days' peaks. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen southerly wind shift pulling warmer continental air, potentially pushing temps to 17°C+, or urban heat island effects inflating central London readings—though model divergence remains low at under 10%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 23 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 23 mars ?
15°C 100.0%
9°C ou moins <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 23, 2026
9°C ou moins
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Oui
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C ou plus
Non
15°C 100.0%
9°C ou moins <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 23, 2026
9°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
Non
10°C
$0 Vol.
Non
11°C
$0 Vol.
Non
12°C
$0 Vol.
Non
13°C
$0 Vol.
Non
14°C
$0 Vol.
Non
15°C
$0 Vol.
Oui
16°C
$0 Vol.
Non
17°C
$0 Vol.
Non
18°C
$0 Vol.
Non
19°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 15°C as London's highest temperature on March 23, driven by the UK Met Office's latest forecast models projecting a daytime maximum of exactly 15°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns with ensemble predictions from ECMWF and GFS, which show tight clustering around 14-16°C amid a mild Atlantic airflow, consistent with March's climatological average high of 11-12°C but elevated by recent high-pressure influences. Supporting evidence includes real-time observations from Heathrow and Gatwick stations trending 1-2°C below recent days' peaks. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen southerly wind shift pulling warmer continental air, potentially pushing temps to 17°C+, or urban heat island effects inflating central London readings—though model divergence remains low at under 10%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Mar 23, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 15°C as London's highest temperature on March 23, driven by the UK Met Office's latest forecast models projecting a daytime maximum of exactly 15°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns with ensemble predictions from ECMWF and GFS, which show tight clustering around 14-16°C amid a mild Atlantic airflow, consistent with March's climatological average high of 11-12°C but elevated by recent high-pressure influences. Supporting evidence includes real-time observations from Heathrow and Gatwick stations trending 1-2°C below recent days' peaks. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen southerly wind shift pulling warmer continental air, potentially pushing temps to 17°C+, or urban heat island effects inflating central London readings—though model divergence remains low at under 10%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$0Date de fin
Mar 23, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 15°C as London's highest temperature on March 23, driven by the UK Met Office's latest forecast models projecting a daytime maximum of exactly 15°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns with ensemble predictions from ECMWF and GFS, which show tight clustering around 14-16°C amid a mild Atlantic airflow, consistent with March's climatological average high of 11-12°C but elevated by recent high-pressure influences. Supporting evidence includes real-time observations from Heathrow and Gatwick stations trending 1-2°C below recent days' peaks. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen southerly wind shift pulling warmer continental air, potentially pushing temps to 17°C+, or urban heat island effects inflating central London readings—though model divergence remains low at under 10%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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