Trader consensus on Polymarket's closely matched leading outcomes—82-83°F at 33.5% implied probability and 80-81°F at 26.5%—mirrors tight spreads in the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means hovering near 82°F for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport on March 29. This sharp rebound follows today's post-cold frontal cooldown to mid-50s highs amid overcast skies and northerly winds, with southerly flow at 10-15 knots expected to advect warm, moist Gulf air under a building high-pressure ridge aloft, fueling strong diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include potential lingering low-level clouds or reduced boundary-layer mixing capping peaks at 80-81°F, versus clearer conditions and optimal winds pushing toward 83°F; historical late-March post-frontal analogs support this range. New 00Z model runs and NWS updates this evening could refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Dallas le 29 mars ?
Température la plus élevée à Dallas le 29 mars ?
82-83°F 35%
80-81°F 30%
84-85°F 14%
78-79°F 11%
$23,063 Vol.
$23,063 Vol.
73°F ou moins
<1%
74-75 °F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
14%
86-87 °F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F ou plus
<1%
82-83°F 35%
80-81°F 30%
84-85°F 14%
78-79°F 11%
$23,063 Vol.
$23,063 Vol.
73°F ou moins
<1%
74-75 °F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
14%
86-87 °F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's closely matched leading outcomes—82-83°F at 33.5% implied probability and 80-81°F at 26.5%—mirrors tight spreads in the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means hovering near 82°F for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport on March 29. This sharp rebound follows today's post-cold frontal cooldown to mid-50s highs amid overcast skies and northerly winds, with southerly flow at 10-15 knots expected to advect warm, moist Gulf air under a building high-pressure ridge aloft, fueling strong diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include potential lingering low-level clouds or reduced boundary-layer mixing capping peaks at 80-81°F, versus clearer conditions and optimal winds pushing toward 83°F; historical late-March post-frontal analogs support this range. New 00Z model runs and NWS updates this evening could refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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