The campaign for California's 2026 Billionaire Tax Act ballot initiative, imposing a one-time 5% wealth tax on net worth over $1 billion to fund healthcare, education, and food assistance amid federal funding cuts, has collected 25% of the roughly 875,000 required signatures as of early March, fueling trader optimism for qualification by the July deadline. Recent polls show majority voter support with partisan divides, bolstered by organized labor and progressive endorsements like Bernie Sanders' February rally, though tech billionaires have poured $35 million into opposition measures and signature drives paying $15 per valid signature. This momentum amid reported preemptive wealth exodus explains the 69.5% implied probability of ballot placement, reflecting crowd wisdom on procedural viability despite legal and competitive hurdles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$84,646 Vol.
$84,646 Vol.
Jun 25, 2026
Oui
$84,646 Vol.
$84,646 Vol.
Jun 25, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. The campaign for California's 2026 Billionaire Tax Act ballot initiative, imposing a one-time 5% wealth tax on net worth over $1 billion to fund healthcare, education, and food assistance amid federal funding cuts, has collected 25% of the roughly 875,000 required signatures as of early March, fueling trader optimism for qualification by the July deadline. Recent polls show majority voter support with partisan divides, bolstered by organized labor and progressive endorsements like Bernie Sanders' February rally, though tech billionaires have poured $35 million into opposition measures and signature drives paying $15 per valid signature. This momentum amid reported preemptive wealth exodus explains the 69.5% implied probability of ballot placement, reflecting crowd wisdom on procedural viability despite legal and competitive hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Marché ouvert : Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
Volume
$84,646Date de fin
Jun 25, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. The campaign for California's 2026 Billionaire Tax Act ballot initiative, imposing a one-time 5% wealth tax on net worth over $1 billion to fund healthcare, education, and food assistance amid federal funding cuts, has collected 25% of the roughly 875,000 required signatures as of early March, fueling trader optimism for qualification by the July deadline. Recent polls show majority voter support with partisan divides, bolstered by organized labor and progressive endorsements like Bernie Sanders' February rally, though tech billionaires have poured $35 million into opposition measures and signature drives paying $15 per valid signature. This momentum amid reported preemptive wealth exodus explains the 69.5% implied probability of ballot placement, reflecting crowd wisdom on procedural viability despite legal and competitive hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$84,646Date de fin
Jun 25, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The campaign for California's 2026 Billionaire Tax Act ballot initiative, imposing a one-time 5% wealth tax on net worth over $1 billion to fund healthcare, education, and food assistance amid federal funding cuts, has collected 25% of the roughly 875,000 required signatures as of early March, fueling trader optimism for qualification by the July deadline. Recent polls show majority voter support with partisan divides, bolstered by organized labor and progressive endorsements like Bernie Sanders' February rally, though tech billionaires have poured $35 million into opposition measures and signature drives paying $15 per valid signature. This momentum amid reported preemptive wealth exodus explains the 69.5% implied probability of ballot placement, reflecting crowd wisdom on procedural viability despite legal and competitive hurdles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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