The California Billionaire Wealth Tax Act initiative, cleared by the Secretary of State for signature gathering last December, has reached 25% of required signatures as of early March, fueling trader consensus at 65.5% for ballot qualification ahead of the July deadline. Recent UC Berkeley polling shows 52% voter support with partisan divides, bolstering proponent momentum from unions like SEIU and figures such as Bernie Sanders, who rallied in February. However, opposition intensifies as billionaires via Building a Better California have raised nearly $80 million to fund three counter-initiatives—paying top rates for signatures—aiming to block or amend the one-time 5% levy on net worth over $1 billion, amid reports of preemptive wealth flight from the state.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$84,384 Vol.
$84,384 Vol.
Jun 25, 2026
Oui
$84,384 Vol.
$84,384 Vol.
Jun 25, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. The California Billionaire Wealth Tax Act initiative, cleared by the Secretary of State for signature gathering last December, has reached 25% of required signatures as of early March, fueling trader consensus at 65.5% for ballot qualification ahead of the July deadline. Recent UC Berkeley polling shows 52% voter support with partisan divides, bolstering proponent momentum from unions like SEIU and figures such as Bernie Sanders, who rallied in February. However, opposition intensifies as billionaires via Building a Better California have raised nearly $80 million to fund three counter-initiatives—paying top rates for signatures—aiming to block or amend the one-time 5% levy on net worth over $1 billion, amid reports of preemptive wealth flight from the state.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Marché ouvert : Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
Volume
$84,384Date de fin
Jun 25, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. The California Billionaire Wealth Tax Act initiative, cleared by the Secretary of State for signature gathering last December, has reached 25% of required signatures as of early March, fueling trader consensus at 65.5% for ballot qualification ahead of the July deadline. Recent UC Berkeley polling shows 52% voter support with partisan divides, bolstering proponent momentum from unions like SEIU and figures such as Bernie Sanders, who rallied in February. However, opposition intensifies as billionaires via Building a Better California have raised nearly $80 million to fund three counter-initiatives—paying top rates for signatures—aiming to block or amend the one-time 5% levy on net worth over $1 billion, amid reports of preemptive wealth flight from the state.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$84,384Date de fin
Jun 25, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California Billionaire Wealth Tax Act initiative, cleared by the Secretary of State for signature gathering last December, has reached 25% of required signatures as of early March, fueling trader consensus at 65.5% for ballot qualification ahead of the July deadline. Recent UC Berkeley polling shows 52% voter support with partisan divides, bolstering proponent momentum from unions like SEIU and figures such as Bernie Sanders, who rallied in February. However, opposition intensifies as billionaires via Building a Better California have raised nearly $80 million to fund three counter-initiatives—paying top rates for signatures—aiming to block or amend the one-time 5% levy on net worth over $1 billion, amid reports of preemptive wealth flight from the state.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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