Republican incumbent Eli Crane holds a strong position in the R+7 district, bolstering trader consensus at 64.5% for the Republican Party in the AZ-02 House race, supported by his $2.4 million cash on hand compared to Democratic frontrunner Jonathan Nez's $649,000. Nez, former Navajo Nation president who outperformed Kamala Harris locally in 2024, recently qualified for the July 21 Democratic primary on March 20 and earned DCCC Red to Blue designation earlier this month, signaling national Democratic investment amid Nez supporters' protests against Crane on March 29. Absent public polls and with Crane securing signatures on March 13 ahead of the April 6 filing deadline, the market reflects incumbency advantages and partisan lean in this rural Arizona contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAZ-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
AZ-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Parti républicain
64%
Parti démocrate
36%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Parti républicain
$0 Vol.
64%
Parti démocrate
$165 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Eli Crane holds a strong position in the R+7 district, bolstering trader consensus at 64.5% for the Republican Party in the AZ-02 House race, supported by his $2.4 million cash on hand compared to Democratic frontrunner Jonathan Nez's $649,000. Nez, former Navajo Nation president who outperformed Kamala Harris locally in 2024, recently qualified for the July 21 Democratic primary on March 20 and earned DCCC Red to Blue designation earlier this month, signaling national Democratic investment amid Nez supporters' protests against Crane on March 29. Absent public polls and with Crane securing signatures on March 13 ahead of the April 6 filing deadline, the market reflects incumbency advantages and partisan lean in this rural Arizona contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Volume
$165Date de fin
Nov 4, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Eli Crane holds a strong position in the R+7 district, bolstering trader consensus at 64.5% for the Republican Party in the AZ-02 House race, supported by his $2.4 million cash on hand compared to Democratic frontrunner Jonathan Nez's $649,000. Nez, former Navajo Nation president who outperformed Kamala Harris locally in 2024, recently qualified for the July 21 Democratic primary on March 20 and earned DCCC Red to Blue designation earlier this month, signaling national Democratic investment amid Nez supporters' protests against Crane on March 29. Absent public polls and with Crane securing signatures on March 13 ahead of the April 6 filing deadline, the market reflects incumbency advantages and partisan lean in this rural Arizona contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$165Date de fin
Nov 4, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Eli Crane holds a strong position in the R+7 district, bolstering trader consensus at 64.5% for the Republican Party in the AZ-02 House race, supported by his $2.4 million cash on hand compared to Democratic frontrunner Jonathan Nez's $649,000. Nez, former Navajo Nation president who outperformed Kamala Harris locally in 2024, recently qualified for the July 21 Democratic primary on March 20 and earned DCCC Red to Blue designation earlier this month, signaling national Democratic investment amid Nez supporters' protests against Crane on March 29. Absent public polls and with Crane securing signatures on March 13 ahead of the April 6 filing deadline, the market reflects incumbency advantages and partisan lean in this rural Arizona contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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