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Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?

$2,363,643 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025

Yes

9% chance 1%

Source: Polymarket.com

Order Book

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.

An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark , however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.

Volume

$2,363,643

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

Comments (344)
Top Holders
Activity
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Beware of external links, they may be phishing attacks.

nanask

8d ago

nonono

xVonScrooge

Free money saying no

ProfitEz

14d ago

What a truly stupid market

blubberBUTT

10d ago

@ProfitEz

Seriously, How is it not 99.9% No odds?! People cant seriously think this is going to happen?

President28
Guwop

Guwop

15d ago

@President28

You should start making long-form video essays. You have a good presentation, good visuals for a begginner, and a unique accent which helps people remember you. I could see you becoming a successful YouTuber!

NIGGA

NIGGA

6d ago

@Guwop

Guwie, when are you coming back to actively posting comments?

Trh

Trh

19d ago

https://www.racket.news/p/timeline-trumps-pursuit-of-greenland

Matthieu86

21d ago

Does Denmark also have to agree officially for "yes"

Guwop

Guwop

20d ago

@Matthieu86

"The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark , however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify."

This would be free money if I wern't in the US

jsjr

21d ago

It’s time to bring security back to Greenland. - J.D. Vance on the official @VP https://x.com/VP/status/1906757199398896089

GeorgiySelvestrov

JD Vance is VERY SERIOUS about RED, WHITE, and BLUELAND

Demorats

22d ago

we will annex GREENLAND

Pockelt

22d ago

@Demorats

take your meds schizo

jsjr

23d ago

Putin mentioned Greenland in his recent speech in Murmansk, as usually the man is incapable of keeping it short, so here I include just a short section about Greenland: "...In short, the United States has serious plans regarding Greenland. These plans have long historical roots, as I have just mentioned, and it is obvious that the United States will continue to consistently advance its geo-strategic, military-political and economic interests in the Arctic. As to Greenland, this is an issue that concerns two specific nations and has nothing to do with us. But at the same time, of course, we are concerned about the fact that NATO countries are increasingly often designating the Far North as a springboard for possible conflicts and are practicing the use of troops in these conditions,....." "

Yes holders : you do realise that USD is gonna have no value if you win this bet? You will be at war with the rest of the developed world

poormanwanttobenice

trump is serious

jsjr

23d ago

OneT

23d ago

Vance and his respected crew to visit greenland in friday and we are at 10c

syntez-syhnalu

It would be a definitive end of NATO. Frozen relations with EU and other allies. Would most likely trigger a constitutional crisis. World economy in turmoil. Massive sanctions. There would be war. Burger troops in Europe will be killed first. Decades of insurgency figthing in arctic conditions. But also attacks deep into Burgistan. Burgers will be isolated for the forseable future. No help when China attacks. Better learn Chinese already. All for orange ego-boy.

KnureKuck-Funds-Me

bomb denmark

Demorats

25d ago

we will acquire greenland !

jsjr

25d ago

Why should Denmark own Greenland, makes absolutely no sense.

jsjr

25d ago

JD Vance is in GREENLAND and he's got a message for DENMARK! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JBVObCBOe2g

GeorgiySelvestrov

RED, WHITE, and BLUELAND

Adamg01

26d ago

Debating buying in No, its literally guranteed money, but wait 9 months to win 10%? hmm

GeorgiySelvestrov

@Adamg01

this is the reason why you have negative pnl

Valei

Valei

28d ago

GREENLAND IS GONNA BE RED, WHITE, and BLUELAND SOON ENOUGH

MAGA-Country

@Valei

Yess Sirr

GeorgiySelvestrov

Vance and his respected crew to visit greenland in friday and we are at 10c

GeorgiySelvestrov

You think vance gonna came for nothing? Undervalued.

phoenix31

26d ago

@GeorgiySelve...

Yes. I do think Vance would come for nothing.

jsjr

28d ago

Danish Prime Minister complains that the United States is about to take Greenland: "The United States is putting unacceptable pressure on Greenland"

jsjr

29d ago

Imagine betting No here, stake say 900 of your hard earned dollar and having them locked up for almost a year for a chance of gaining 100 dollar... And that's best case scenario, you might also lose your 900 dollars at any moment.

jsjr

29d ago

BREAKING: The US is preparing to annex Greenland https://x.com/Megatron_ron/status/1904096824945770718

jsjr

29d ago

JD: "Denmark is not doing it's job, it's not being a good ally. If that means that we need to take more territorial interest in Greenland, that is what President Trump is going to do."

KnureKuck-Funds-Me

Lucy Cross and Erasmus on No? Big YIKES, these two are AWFUL at prediction markets!

BuckMySalls

another market that could use a clarification, ie if annexation against Denmark's will would resolve to yes. as of now, my guess is that no

FrancisSP8

FrancisSP8

1mo ago

@BuckMySalls

just the announcement is required. It's hard to imagine a Crimea-like scenario (which is probably what you're referring to) and then there's media consensus clause which usually goes the way of "it happened".

KnureKuck-Funds-Me

@BuckMySalls

exactly how are you planning on torturing the English language that annexing a territory does not constitute acquiring it lol

BlackSky123

I don't see how this fails to occur.

Euan

Euan

1mo ago

It’s happening guys

mr.seagull

1mo ago

wouldn t trump saying that greenland will be under USA count as an action made a Trump ? "An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions"

mr.seagull

1mo ago

@mr.seagull

it seems kind o vague the language

what?!

onafets

onafets

2mo ago

Trump is a clown. Tip me if you agree!

AKallday

AKallday

2mo ago

Trump buying Greenland? Finally, a real estate deal where he can’t go bankrupt, just melt the ice caps and call it beachfront property!

Guwop

Guwop

2mo ago

@AKallday

😂😂😂

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