Neymar's extended recovery from a ruptured ACL sustained in October 2023 stands as the primary driver of the 69.5% implied probability that he will miss the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with no competitive matches played since and only recent light training sessions at Al-Hilal. At age 34 by kickoff, his chronic injury history—including multiple hamstring tears and ankle issues—fuels skepticism about sustaining Brazil's intense national team demands through qualifiers and the tournament. Recent form remains absent, contrasting Brazil's depth with Vinicius Jr., Rodrygo, and Endrick providing low-risk alternatives, reinforcing trader consensus on his likely exclusion despite his public commitment to return.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$27,976 Vol.
$27,976 Vol.
$27,976 Vol.
$27,976 Vol.
Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 17, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Neymar's extended recovery from a ruptured ACL sustained in October 2023 stands as the primary driver of the 69.5% implied probability that he will miss the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with no competitive matches played since and only recent light training sessions at Al-Hilal. At age 34 by kickoff, his chronic injury history—including multiple hamstring tears and ankle issues—fuels skepticism about sustaining Brazil's intense national team demands through qualifiers and the tournament. Recent form remains absent, contrasting Brazil's depth with Vinicius Jr., Rodrygo, and Endrick providing low-risk alternatives, reinforcing trader consensus on his likely exclusion despite his public commitment to return.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions