Gold futures (GC) have retreated sharply in late March 2026, trading around $4,486 per ounce as of the March 29 close, down over 3% weekly amid hawkish Federal Reserve rhetoric curbing rate-cut bets and bolstering the U.S. dollar alongside rising Treasury yields. This dynamic pressures the non-yielding metal, as higher real yields erode its opportunity cost appeal despite persistent inflation from Middle East tensions and oil prices. Trader sentiment reflects reduced safe-haven demand, with March highs failing to breach early-month peaks above $4,500. With resolution imminent by March 31 close, volatility could spike on final U.S. data releases like jobless claims or any geopolitical flare-ups, alongside dollar index (DXY) moves above 105.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWill Gold (GC) hit __ by end of March?
Will Gold (GC) hit __ by end of March?
$3,364,468 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,600
<1%
↑ $6,400
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ $6,000
<1%
↑ $5,800
<1%
↑ $5,600
<1%
↑ $5,500
<1%
↑ $5,400
1%
↓ $4,300
3%
↓ $4,000
1%
↓ $3,600
<1%
↓ $3,000
<1%
$3,364,468 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$324,632 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7,000
$365,646 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6,600
$108,280 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6,400
$80,549 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6,200
$108,749 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6,000
$69,779 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5,800
$114,612 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5,600
$75,715 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5,500
$68,803 Vol.
<1%
↑ $5,400
$211,339 Vol.
1%
↓ $4,300
$208,198 Vol.
3%
↓ $4,000
$252,085 Vol.
1%
↓ $3,600
$237,142 Vol.
<1%
↓ $3,000
$499,537 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have retreated sharply in late March 2026, trading around $4,486 per ounce as of the March 29 close, down over 3% weekly amid hawkish Federal Reserve rhetoric curbing rate-cut bets and bolstering the U.S. dollar alongside rising Treasury yields. This dynamic pressures the non-yielding metal, as higher real yields erode its opportunity cost appeal despite persistent inflation from Middle East tensions and oil prices. Trader sentiment reflects reduced safe-haven demand, with March highs failing to breach early-month peaks above $4,500. With resolution imminent by March 31 close, volatility could spike on final U.S. data releases like jobless claims or any geopolitical flare-ups, alongside dollar index (DXY) moves above 105.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volume
$3,364,468End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have retreated sharply in late March 2026, trading around $4,486 per ounce as of the March 29 close, down over 3% weekly amid hawkish Federal Reserve rhetoric curbing rate-cut bets and bolstering the U.S. dollar alongside rising Treasury yields. This dynamic pressures the non-yielding metal, as higher real yields erode its opportunity cost appeal despite persistent inflation from Middle East tensions and oil prices. Trader sentiment reflects reduced safe-haven demand, with March highs failing to breach early-month peaks above $4,500. With resolution imminent by March 31 close, volatility could spike on final U.S. data releases like jobless claims or any geopolitical flare-ups, alongside dollar index (DXY) moves above 105.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$3,364,468End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Gold futures (GC) have retreated sharply in late March 2026, trading around $4,486 per ounce as of the March 29 close, down over 3% weekly amid hawkish Federal Reserve rhetoric curbing rate-cut bets and bolstering the U.S. dollar alongside rising Treasury yields. This dynamic pressures the non-yielding metal, as higher real yields erode its opportunity cost appeal despite persistent inflation from Middle East tensions and oil prices. Trader sentiment reflects reduced safe-haven demand, with March highs failing to breach early-month peaks above $4,500. With resolution imminent by March 31 close, volatility could spike on final U.S. data releases like jobless claims or any geopolitical flare-ups, alongside dollar index (DXY) moves above 105.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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