Market icon

Will Drake release Iceman by...?

Market icon

Will Drake release Iceman by...?

$129,311 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$129,311 Vol.

Polymarket

April 30

$35,781 Vol.

32%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases Iceman by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Drake's recent confirmation at the Canadian Music Hall of Fame induction on March 29 that his long-teased ninth studio album Iceman is "coming soon" has fueled trader consensus on an imminent drop, marking the latest in a year-long rollout that began with cryptic 2025 Instagram teasers and a warehouse livestream. As his first full solo project since For All the Dogs, the bars-heavy effort arrives amid final tweaks and competitive 2026 release schedules from peers like A$AP Rocky. No firm date is set, reflecting Drake's history of surprise drops, but watch social media hints, Spotify uploads, or sudden announcements—key resolution triggers for end-of-April deadlines—with DJ Akademiks eyeing a 90-day window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases Iceman by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$129,311
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 16, 2026, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases Iceman by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases Iceman by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Drake's recent confirmation at the Canadian Music Hall of Fame induction on March 29 that his long-teased ninth studio album Iceman is "coming soon" has fueled trader consensus on an imminent drop, marking the latest in a year-long rollout that began with cryptic 2025 Instagram teasers and a warehouse livestream. As his first full solo project since For All the Dogs, the bars-heavy effort arrives amid final tweaks and competitive 2026 release schedules from peers like A$AP Rocky. No firm date is set, reflecting Drake's history of surprise drops, but watch social media hints, Spotify uploads, or sudden announcements—key resolution triggers for end-of-April deadlines—with DJ Akademiks eyeing a 90-day window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases Iceman by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$129,311
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 16, 2026, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases Iceman by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Drake release Iceman by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "April 30" at 32%, followed by "February 28" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Drake release Iceman by...?" has generated $129.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Drake release Iceman by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Drake release Iceman by...?" is "April 30" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "February 28" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Drake release Iceman by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.