This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Taiwan by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used

Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?

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Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

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Improved notification preferences and types.

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mobile_trading_v2

authenticated_book_ws

in_game_sports_trading

preferred_sports_odds_format

live_chat

buy_sell_widget_v3

mobile_buy_sell_widget_v3

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