This market will resolve to "Yes" if the People's Republic of China (PRC) commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Taiwan by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by the PRC, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.