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Sports·Mma

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

Market icon
Sports·Mma

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

$18,019 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$18,019 Vol.

Polymarket

Merab Dvalishvili

$0 Vol.

50%

Jiří Procházka

$3,426 Vol.

50%

Kamaru Usman

$6,252 Vol.

49%

Yair Rodriguez

$0 Vol.

48%

Charles Oliveira

$35 Vol.

48%

Max Holloway

$0 Vol.

48%

Dricus Du Plessis

$0 Vol.

48%

Cory Sandhagen

$0 Vol.

47%

Sergei Pavlovich

$29 Vol.

47%

Alexander Volkov

$252 Vol.

46%

Aljamain Sterling

$52 Vol.

45%

Belal Muhammad

$191 Vol.

45%

Nassourdine Imavov

$0 Vol.

44%

Jack Della Maddalena

$0 Vol.

24%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$632 Vol.

16%

Manel Kape

$0 Vol.

22%

Arman Tsarukyan

$2,084 Vol.

23%

Shavkat Rakhmonov

$0 Vol.

11%

Sean O'Malley

$0 Vol.

22%

Diego Lopes

$4,672 Vol.

7%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$0 Vol.

3%

Paddy Pimblett

$0 Vol.

7%

Alexandre Pantoja

$0 Vol.

56%

Ian Machado Garry

$0 Vol.

57%

Leon Edwards

$0 Vol.

34%

Sean Strickland

$0 Vol.

46%

Magomed Ankalaev

$394 Vol.

50%

Ciryl Gane

$0 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors bantamweight contender Merab Dvalishvili amid his relentless wrestling pressure and path to challenging Petr Yan, bolstered by recent top-5 wins and division depth. Jiří Procházka's striking power draws support for light heavyweight gold against aging Alex Pereira, following his comeback trail. Recent developments include Charles Oliveira's dominant unanimous decision over Max Holloway for the BMF title at UFC 326 on March 7, Movsar Evloev's majority decision upset of Lerone Murphy in the March 21 UFC London featherweight headliner, and stable undisputed belts like Ilia Topuria's lightweight reign. Prospects Umar Nurmagomedov and Arman Tsarukyan build momentum but face gauntlets, with upcoming unification bouts like Topuria vs. interim champ Justin Gaethje and Khamzat Chimaev vs. Sean Strickland poised to accelerate title turnover through December.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,019
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors bantamweight contender Merab Dvalishvili amid his relentless wrestling pressure and path to challenging Petr Yan, bolstered by recent top-5 wins and division depth. Jiří Procházka's striking power draws support for light heavyweight gold against aging Alex Pereira, following his comeback trail. Recent developments include Charles Oliveira's dominant unanimous decision over Max Holloway for the BMF title at UFC 326 on March 7, Movsar Evloev's majority decision upset of Lerone Murphy in the March 21 UFC London featherweight headliner, and stable undisputed belts like Ilia Topuria's lightweight reign. Prospects Umar Nurmagomedov and Arman Tsarukyan build momentum but face gauntlets, with upcoming unification bouts like Topuria vs. interim champ Justin Gaethje and Khamzat Chimaev vs. Sean Strickland poised to accelerate title turnover through December.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,019
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ian Machado Garry" at 57%, followed by "Alexandre Pantoja" at 56%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" has generated $18K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" is "Ian Machado Garry" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandre Pantoja" at 56%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.