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Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?

Market icon
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?

Alexander Volkanovski 53%

Jean Silva 37%

Movsar Evloev 24%

Lerone Murphy 3.6%

Polymarket
NEW

Alexander Volkanovski 53%

Jean Silva 37%

Movsar Evloev 24%

Lerone Murphy 3.6%

Polymarket
NEW

Alexander Volkanovski

$0 Vol.

40%

Jean Silva

$0 Vol.

37%

Movsar Evloev

$0 Vol.

20%

Lerone Murphy

$1,199 Vol.

4%

Steve Garcia

$0 Vol.

3%

Arnold Allen

$0 Vol.

2%

Brian Ortega

$0 Vol.

2%

Aljamain Sterling

$292 Vol.

1%

Youssef Zalal

$0 Vol.

1%

Diego Lopes

$0 Vol.

<1%

Yair Rodriguez

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Alexander Volkanovski leads trader consensus at 35.5% implied probability as the reigning UFC featherweight champion after a unanimous decision title defense over Diego Lopes at UFC 325 on January 31, reclaiming dominance following prior setbacks and showcasing veteran resilience in five rounds. Movsar Evloev's 22.0% reflects his majority decision victory over Lerone Murphy in the UFC London main event on March 21, solidifying his #1 contender ranking and positioning him for a likely title shot after Volkanovski's recent callout, per Dana White's endorsement. Jean Silva at 18.5% gains from his knockout streak and bold challenge vowing to retire from UFC with a loss to Volkanovski, fueling hype as a stylistic upset threat amid the division's contention. Lower probabilities for Murphy (post-loss) and others like Steve Garcia underscore the crowded path through rankings and upcoming title challengers.

Alexander Volkanovski leads trader consensus at 35.5% implied probability as the reigning UFC featherweight champion after a unanimous decision title defense over Diego Lopes at UFC 325 on January 31, reclaiming dominance following prior setbacks and showcasing veteran resilience in five rounds. Movsar Evloev's 22.0% reflects his majority decision victory over Lerone Murphy in the UFC London main event on March 21, solidifying his #1 contender ranking and positioning him for a likely title shot after Volkanovski's recent callout, per Dana White's endorsement. Jean Silva at 18.5% gains from his knockout streak and bold challenge vowing to retire from UFC with a loss to Volkanovski, fueling hype as a stylistic upset threat amid the division's contention. Lower probabilities for Murphy (post-loss) and others like Steve Garcia underscore the crowded path through rankings and upcoming title challengers.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Alexander Volkanovski leads trader consensus at 35.5% implied probability as the reigning UFC featherweight champion after a unanimous decision title defense over Diego Lopes at UFC 325 on January 31, reclaiming dominance following prior setbacks and showcasing veteran resilience in five rounds. Movsar Evloev's 22.0% reflects his majority decision victory over Lerone Murphy in the UFC London main event on March 21, solidifying his #1 contender ranking and positioning him for a likely title shot after Volkanovski's recent callout, per Dana White's endorsement. Jean Silva at 18.5% gains from his knockout streak and bold challenge vowing to retire from UFC with a loss to Volkanovski, fueling hype as a stylistic upset threat amid the division's contention. Lower probabilities for Murphy (post-loss) and others like Steve Garcia underscore the crowded path through rankings and upcoming title challengers.

Alexander Volkanovski leads trader consensus at 35.5% implied probability as the reigning UFC featherweight champion after a unanimous decision title defense over Diego Lopes at UFC 325 on January 31, reclaiming dominance following prior setbacks and showcasing veteran resilience in five rounds. Movsar Evloev's 22.0% reflects his majority decision victory over Lerone Murphy in the UFC London main event on March 21, solidifying his #1 contender ranking and positioning him for a likely title shot after Volkanovski's recent callout, per Dana White's endorsement. Jean Silva at 18.5% gains from his knockout streak and bold challenge vowing to retire from UFC with a loss to Volkanovski, fueling hype as a stylistic upset threat amid the division's contention. Lower probabilities for Murphy (post-loss) and others like Steve Garcia underscore the crowded path through rankings and upcoming title challengers.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexander Volkanovski" at 40%, followed by "Movsar Evloev" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Alexander Volkanovski" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Movsar Evloev" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.