Market icon
Sports·UFC

UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?

Market icon
Sports·UFC

UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?

Conor McGregor 48%

Benoît Saint Denis 28%

Dan Hooker 16%

Arman Tsarukyan 7%

Polymarket

$48,071 Vol.

Conor McGregor 48%

Benoît Saint Denis 28%

Dan Hooker 16%

Arman Tsarukyan 7%

Polymarket

$48,071 Vol.

Conor McGregor

$1,265 Vol.

48%

Benoît Saint Denis

$103 Vol.

28%

Dan Hooker

$19,934 Vol.

16%

Arman Tsarukyan

$460 Vol.

7%

Paddy Pimblett

$201 Vol.

6%

Maurício Ruffy

$20,752 Vol.

5%

Mateusz Gamrot

$4,425 Vol.

13%

Islam Makhachev

$17 Vol.

3%

Justin Gaethje

$236 Vol.

2%

Ilia Topuria

$368 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Volkanovski

$310 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Trader consensus favors Conor McGregor at 47.5% implied probability for Max Holloway's next bout, driven by Holloway's direct post-fight callout at UFC 308 after his third-round knockout loss to Ilia Topuria, positioning a blockbuster lightweight BMF clash amid McGregor's ongoing return buzz despite his extended layoff and recent drug test issues. Dan Hooker's 15.5% reflects his recent submission win over Jalin Turner and bad-blood history with Holloway from their 2021 lightweight matchup, while Mateusz Gamrot's 14% stems from his grappling dominance and climb in lightweight rankings via back-to-back victories. Benoît Saint Denis at 10.5% gains from his knockout streak, including Charles Oliveira, appealing as a high-upside striker for Holloway's return. Recent contender performances and Holloway's BMF belt elevate these over fading options like Justin Gaethje, whom he just decisioned at UFC 300.

Trader consensus favors Conor McGregor at 47.5% implied probability for Max Holloway's next bout, driven by Holloway's direct post-fight callout at UFC 308 after his third-round knockout loss to Ilia Topuria, positioning a blockbuster lightweight BMF clash amid McGregor's ongoing return buzz despite his extended layoff and recent drug test issues. Dan Hooker's 15.5% reflects his recent submission win over Jalin Turner and bad-blood history with Holloway from their 2021 lightweight matchup, while Mateusz Gamrot's 14% stems from his grappling dominance and climb in lightweight rankings via back-to-back victories. Benoît Saint Denis at 10.5% gains from his knockout streak, including Charles Oliveira, appealing as a high-upside striker for Holloway's return. Recent contender performances and Holloway's BMF belt elevate these over fading options like Justin Gaethje, whom he just decisioned at UFC 300.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Trader consensus favors Conor McGregor at 47.5% implied probability for Max Holloway's next bout, driven by Holloway's direct post-fight callout at UFC 308 after his third-round knockout loss to Ilia Topuria, positioning a blockbuster lightweight BMF clash amid McGregor's ongoing return buzz despite his extended layoff and recent drug test issues. Dan Hooker's 15.5% reflects his recent submission win over Jalin Turner and bad-blood history with Holloway from their 2021 lightweight matchup, while Mateusz Gamrot's 14% stems from his grappling dominance and climb in lightweight rankings via back-to-back victories. Benoît Saint Denis at 10.5% gains from his knockout streak, including Charles Oliveira, appealing as a high-upside striker for Holloway's return. Recent contender performances and Holloway's BMF belt elevate these over fading options like Justin Gaethje, whom he just decisioned at UFC 300.

Trader consensus favors Conor McGregor at 47.5% implied probability for Max Holloway's next bout, driven by Holloway's direct post-fight callout at UFC 308 after his third-round knockout loss to Ilia Topuria, positioning a blockbuster lightweight BMF clash amid McGregor's ongoing return buzz despite his extended layoff and recent drug test issues. Dan Hooker's 15.5% reflects his recent submission win over Jalin Turner and bad-blood history with Holloway from their 2021 lightweight matchup, while Mateusz Gamrot's 14% stems from his grappling dominance and climb in lightweight rankings via back-to-back victories. Benoît Saint Denis at 10.5% gains from his knockout streak, including Charles Oliveira, appealing as a high-upside striker for Holloway's return. Recent contender performances and Holloway's BMF belt elevate these over fading options like Justin Gaethje, whom he just decisioned at UFC 300.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

Market icon

Will Ilia Topuria fight Charles Oliveira next?

40%
Market icon

Will Movsar Evloev fight Alexander Volkanovski next?

76%
Market icon

Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?

88%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Conor McGregor" at 48%, followed by "Benoît Saint Denis" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?" has generated $48.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?" is "Conor McGregor" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Benoît Saint Denis" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.