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Sports·UFC

Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?

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Sports·UFC

Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?

Ilia Topuria 65%

Islam/None in 2026 29%

Khamzat Chimaev 23.4%

Tom Aspinall 23.2%

Polymarket

$11,557 Vol.

Ilia Topuria 65%

Islam/None in 2026 29%

Khamzat Chimaev 23.4%

Tom Aspinall 23.2%

Polymarket

$11,557 Vol.

Ilia Topuria

$705 Vol.

59%

Khamzat Chimaev

$626 Vol.

23%

Alex Pereira

$374 Vol.

38%

Alexander Volkanovski

$507 Vol.

6%

Petr Yan

$403 Vol.

2%

Merab Dvalishvili

$387 Vol.

<1%

Tom Aspinall

$403 Vol.

23%

Alexandre Pantoja

$563 Vol.

<1%

Max Holloway

$426 Vol.

<1%

Dricus Du Plessis

$485 Vol.

<1%

Joshua Van

$486 Vol.

<1%

Magomed Ankalaev

$383 Vol.

<1%

Jack Della Maddalena

$393 Vol.

<1%

Arman Tsarukyan

$4,184 Vol.

24%

Islam/None in 2026

$1,235 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings, following Islam Makhachev. If Islam Makhachev remains #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the Pound-For-Pound rankings within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Islam/No Next #1 in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Ilia Topuria as the strong favorite at 59% implied probability to become UFC pound-for-pound #1 in 2026, driven by his seamless transition to lightweight champion after a knockout of Charles Oliveira in June 2025, current #2 ranking, and recent training return announcements teasing a major comeback amid failed negotiations with Islam Makhachev. Arman Tsarukyan follows closely at 44.3%, reflecting his top lightweight contender status and momentum from recent contention wins, especially as Makhachev's title defense is delayed until August. Islam/None in 2026 lingers at 29% given the champ's sustained dominance, while Tom Aspinall (23.9%), Khamzat Chimaev (23.6%), and Alex Pereira (21.4%) gain traction from heavyweight title promotion, undefeated streaks, and light heavyweight defenses, per rankings updated April 14 post-UFC 327.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings, following Islam Makhachev.

If Islam Makhachev remains #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the Pound-For-Pound rankings within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Islam/No Next #1 in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$11,557
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 3:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings, following Islam Makhachev. If Islam Makhachev remains #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the Pound-For-Pound rankings within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Islam/No Next #1 in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings, following Islam Makhachev. If Islam Makhachev remains #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the Pound-For-Pound rankings within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Islam/No Next #1 in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Ilia Topuria as the strong favorite at 59% implied probability to become UFC pound-for-pound #1 in 2026, driven by his seamless transition to lightweight champion after a knockout of Charles Oliveira in June 2025, current #2 ranking, and recent training return announcements teasing a major comeback amid failed negotiations with Islam Makhachev. Arman Tsarukyan follows closely at 44.3%, reflecting his top lightweight contender status and momentum from recent contention wins, especially as Makhachev's title defense is delayed until August. Islam/None in 2026 lingers at 29% given the champ's sustained dominance, while Tom Aspinall (23.9%), Khamzat Chimaev (23.6%), and Alex Pereira (21.4%) gain traction from heavyweight title promotion, undefeated streaks, and light heavyweight defenses, per rankings updated April 14 post-UFC 327.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings, following Islam Makhachev.

If Islam Makhachev remains #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the Pound-For-Pound rankings within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Islam/No Next #1 in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$11,557
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 3:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings, following Islam Makhachev. If Islam Makhachev remains #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the Pound-For-Pound rankings within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Islam/No Next #1 in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Related

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Will Ilia Topuria be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?

37%
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Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

76%
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Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

64%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ilia Topuria" at 59%, followed by "Alex Pereira" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?" has generated $11.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?" is "Ilia Topuria" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alex Pereira" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.