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Sports·UFC

Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?

Market icon
Sports·UFC

Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?

Ilia Topuria 55%

Islam/None in 2026 40%

Khamzat Chimaev 20.2%

Alex Pereira 2.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Ilia Topuria 55%

Islam/None in 2026 40%

Khamzat Chimaev 20.2%

Alex Pereira 2.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Ilia Topuria

$418 Vol.

55%

Khamzat Chimaev

$488 Vol.

20%

Alex Pereira

$204 Vol.

3%

Alexander Volkanovski

$338 Vol.

3%

Petr Yan

$253 Vol.

1%

Merab Dvalishvili

$274 Vol.

1%

Tom Aspinall

$259 Vol.

1%

Alexandre Pantoja

$424 Vol.

1%

Max Holloway

$260 Vol.

10%

Dricus Du Plessis

$272 Vol.

<1%

Joshua Van

$269 Vol.

<1%

Magomed Ankalaev

$269 Vol.

<1%

Jack Della Maddalena

$279 Vol.

<1%

Arman Tsarukyan

$4,043 Vol.

15%

Islam/None in 2026

$818 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings, following Islam Makhachev. If Islam Makhachev remains #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the Pound-For-Pound rankings within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Islam/No Next #1 in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Trader consensus favors Ilia Topuria at 54% implied probability to claim UFC pound-for-pound #1 status in 2026, propelled by his stunning first-round knockout of Max Holloway at UFC 308 on October 26, vaulting him to #2 in official rankings amid calls for a lightweight leap to challenge Islam Makhachev. The Islam/None in 2026 outcome trades at 45%, reflecting Makhachev's dominant streak as current #1 lightweight champion and his upcoming title defense against Dricus du Plessis at UFC 311 on January 18. Arman Tsarukyan (28.6%) gains traction from recent lightweight wins over elite contenders like Gamrot, positioning him for a potential shot, while Khamzat Chimaev (15.9%) impressed with a submission of Robert Whittaker but faces durability questions. Lower options trail amid multi-division paths and injury uncertainties shaping the crowded field.

Trader consensus favors Ilia Topuria at 54% implied probability to claim UFC pound-for-pound #1 status in 2026, propelled by his stunning first-round knockout of Max Holloway at UFC 308 on October 26, vaulting him to #2 in official rankings amid calls for a lightweight leap to challenge Islam Makhachev. The Islam/None in 2026 outcome trades at 45%, reflecting Makhachev's dominant streak as current #1 lightweight champion and his upcoming title defense against Dricus du Plessis at UFC 311 on January 18. Arman Tsarukyan (28.6%) gains traction from recent lightweight wins over elite contenders like Gamrot, positioning him for a potential shot, while Khamzat Chimaev (15.9%) impressed with a submission of Robert Whittaker but faces durability questions. Lower options trail amid multi-division paths and injury uncertainties shaping the crowded field.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings, following Islam Makhachev. If Islam Makhachev remains #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no next UFC fighter to be ranked 1st in the Pound-For-Pound rankings within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Islam/No Next #1 in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Trader consensus favors Ilia Topuria at 54% implied probability to claim UFC pound-for-pound #1 status in 2026, propelled by his stunning first-round knockout of Max Holloway at UFC 308 on October 26, vaulting him to #2 in official rankings amid calls for a lightweight leap to challenge Islam Makhachev. The Islam/None in 2026 outcome trades at 45%, reflecting Makhachev's dominant streak as current #1 lightweight champion and his upcoming title defense against Dricus du Plessis at UFC 311 on January 18. Arman Tsarukyan (28.6%) gains traction from recent lightweight wins over elite contenders like Gamrot, positioning him for a potential shot, while Khamzat Chimaev (15.9%) impressed with a submission of Robert Whittaker but faces durability questions. Lower options trail amid multi-division paths and injury uncertainties shaping the crowded field.

Trader consensus favors Ilia Topuria at 54% implied probability to claim UFC pound-for-pound #1 status in 2026, propelled by his stunning first-round knockout of Max Holloway at UFC 308 on October 26, vaulting him to #2 in official rankings amid calls for a lightweight leap to challenge Islam Makhachev. The Islam/None in 2026 outcome trades at 45%, reflecting Makhachev's dominant streak as current #1 lightweight champion and his upcoming title defense against Dricus du Plessis at UFC 311 on January 18. Arman Tsarukyan (28.6%) gains traction from recent lightweight wins over elite contenders like Gamrot, positioning him for a potential shot, while Khamzat Chimaev (15.9%) impressed with a submission of Robert Whittaker but faces durability questions. Lower options trail amid multi-division paths and injury uncertainties shaping the crowded field.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ilia Topuria" at 55%, followed by "Islam/None in 2026" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?" is "Ilia Topuria" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Islam/None in 2026" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.