Trader consensus favors Benoît Saint Denis at 53% implied probability for Paddy Pimblett's next lightweight bout, driven by Pimblett's public callout last month after his competitive decision loss to Justin Gaethje at UFC 324 and reports targeting the all-European matchup for UFC 330 during International Fight Week in July, as confirmed by Dana White's agreement on Pimblett's summer return at UFC London. Dan Hooker's 20.5% share stems from their heated ongoing beef, amplified by Saint Denis's recent win over Hooker that elevated BSD above Pimblett in rankings. Lower probabilities for Rafael Fiziev, Mateusz Gamrot, and Arman Tsarukyan reflect ranked contender status amid stylistic grappling clashes suiting Pimblett's BJJ black belt arsenal, while Conor McGregor's slim 1.2% nods to fan speculation without substantive developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedBenoît Saint Denis 53%
Dan Hooker 21%
Mateusz Gamrot 9%
Rafael Fiziev 7%
$47,111 Vol.
$47,111 Vol.
Benoît Saint Denis
53%
Dan Hooker
21%
Mateusz Gamrot
9%
Rafael Fiziev
7%
Arman Tsarukyan
4%
Conor McGregor
1%
Benoît Saint Denis 53%
Dan Hooker 21%
Mateusz Gamrot 9%
Rafael Fiziev 7%
$47,111 Vol.
$47,111 Vol.
Benoît Saint Denis
53%
Dan Hooker
21%
Mateusz Gamrot
9%
Rafael Fiziev
7%
Arman Tsarukyan
4%
Conor McGregor
1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Pimblett is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Feb 2, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Pimblett is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Benoît Saint Denis at 53% implied probability for Paddy Pimblett's next lightweight bout, driven by Pimblett's public callout last month after his competitive decision loss to Justin Gaethje at UFC 324 and reports targeting the all-European matchup for UFC 330 during International Fight Week in July, as confirmed by Dana White's agreement on Pimblett's summer return at UFC London. Dan Hooker's 20.5% share stems from their heated ongoing beef, amplified by Saint Denis's recent win over Hooker that elevated BSD above Pimblett in rankings. Lower probabilities for Rafael Fiziev, Mateusz Gamrot, and Arman Tsarukyan reflect ranked contender status amid stylistic grappling clashes suiting Pimblett's BJJ black belt arsenal, while Conor McGregor's slim 1.2% nods to fan speculation without substantive developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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