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Politics·Tulsi Gabbard

Which Senators will vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?

Market icon
Politics·Tulsi Gabbard

Which Senators will vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?

$4,921,864 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

$4,921,864 Vol.

Polymarket
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Mitch McConnell

$785,998 Vol.

No

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Bernie Sanders

$2,218,317 Vol.

No

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John Curtis

$214,120 Vol.

Yes

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John Fetterman

$526,660 Vol.

No

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Susan Collins

$357,046 Vol.

Yes

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Lisa Murkowski

$261,271 Vol.

Yes

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Bill Cassidy

$167,051 Vol.

Yes

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Cynthia Lummis

$199,372 Vol.

Yes

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Joni Ernst

$192,029 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mitch McConnell votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Tulsi Gabbard is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Director of National Intelligence without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as Director of National Intelligence by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first confirmation vote for Tulsi Gabbard as Director of National Intelligence. If Gabbard's nomination is withdrawn or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. Announcements from Bernie Sanders that he will vote for Gabbard will not qualify. Only an affirmative vote will count. The primary resolution source will be official information form the U.S. senate, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Curtis votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Tulsi Gabbard is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Director of National Intelligence without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fetterman votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Tulsi Gabbard is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Director of National Intelligence without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Susan Collins votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Tulsi Gabbard is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Director of National Intelligence without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Murkowski votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Tulsi Gabbard is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Director of National Intelligence without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Cassidy votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Tulsi Gabbard is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Director of National Intelligence without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cynthia Lummis votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Tulsi Gabbard is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Director of National Intelligence without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joni Ernst votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Tulsi Gabbard is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Director of National Intelligence without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mitch McConnell votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Tulsi Gabbard is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Director of National Intelligence without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as Director of National Intelligence by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first confirmation vote for Tulsi Gabbard as Director of National Intelligence. If Gabbard's nomination is withdrawn or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. Announcements from Bernie Sanders that he will vote for Gabbard will not qualify. Only an affirmative vote will count. The primary resolution source will be official information form the U.S. senate, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Curtis votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Tulsi Gabbard is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Director of National Intelligence without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fetterman votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Tulsi Gabbard is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Director of National Intelligence without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Susan Collins votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Tulsi Gabbard is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Director of National Intelligence without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Murkowski votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Tulsi Gabbard is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Director of National Intelligence without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Cassidy votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Tulsi Gabbard is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Director of National Intelligence without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cynthia Lummis votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Tulsi Gabbard is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Director of National Intelligence without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joni Ernst votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard in the first roll-call vote on confirmation as Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Tulsi Gabbard is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Director of National Intelligence without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which Senators will vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "John Curtis " at 100%, followed by "Susan Collins" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which Senators will vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?" has generated $4.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 14, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which Senators will vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which Senators will vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?" is "John Curtis " at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Susan Collins" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which Senators will vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.