Market icon
Politics·DHS

When will the DHS shutdown end?

Market icon
Politics·DHS

When will the DHS shutdown end?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

Before April 1 34%

Arpil 21-24 10%

April 13-16 9%

April 1-4 9%

Polymarket
NEW

$37,654 Vol.

Before April 1 34%

Arpil 21-24 10%

April 13-16 9%

April 1-4 9%

Polymarket
NEW

$37,654 Vol.

Before April 1

$12,881 Vol.

40%

April 1-4

$142 Vol.

9%

April 5-8

$33 Vol.

16%

April 9-12

$33 Vol.

7%

April 13-16

$5,559 Vol.

9%

April 17-20

$33 Vol.

7%

Arpil 21-24

$16,536 Vol.

10%

April 25-28

$1,143 Vol.

6%

April 29-30

$1,185 Vol.

7%

After April 30

$107 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 37% chance the DHS shutdown ends before April 1, reflecting optimism from recent bipartisan talks on a continuing resolution to extend government funding past the March 31 appropriations deadline affecting DHS operations like border security and immigration enforcement. House Speaker Mike Johnson and Senate leaders advanced a framework deal this week amid pressure to avert a partial shutdown, with key holdouts on spending cuts and policy riders narrowing after White House meetings. Lower odds for mid-April windows (e.g., 17.5% for April 5-8) account for potential delays from floor votes, amendments, or debt ceiling complications, though historical patterns favor short-term CRs over prolonged closures. Upcoming House and Senate votes this week could shift probabilities rapidly.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$37,654
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 37% chance the DHS shutdown ends before April 1, reflecting optimism from recent bipartisan talks on a continuing resolution to extend government funding past the March 31 appropriations deadline affecting DHS operations like border security and immigration enforcement. House Speaker Mike Johnson and Senate leaders advanced a framework deal this week amid pressure to avert a partial shutdown, with key holdouts on spending cuts and policy riders narrowing after White House meetings. Lower odds for mid-April windows (e.g., 17.5% for April 5-8) account for potential delays from floor votes, amendments, or debt ceiling complications, though historical patterns favor short-term CRs over prolonged closures. Upcoming House and Senate votes this week could shift probabilities rapidly.

Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 37% chance the DHS shutdown ends before April 1, reflecting optimism from recent bipartisan talks on a continuing resolution to extend government funding past the March 31 appropriations deadline affecting DHS operations like border security and immigration enforcement. House Speaker Mike Johnson and Senate leaders advanced a framework deal this week amid pressure to avert a partial shutdown, with key holdouts on spending cuts and policy riders narrowing after White House meetings. Lower odds for mid-April windows (e.g., 17.5% for April 5-8) account for potential delays from floor votes, amendments, or debt ceiling complications, though historical patterns favor short-term CRs over prolonged closures. Upcoming House and Senate votes this week could shift probabilities rapidly.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"When will the DHS shutdown end?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Before April 1" at 40%, followed by "April 5-8" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "When will the DHS shutdown end?" has generated $37.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "When will the DHS shutdown end?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "When will the DHS shutdown end?" is "Before April 1" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "April 5-8" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "When will the DHS shutdown end?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.