Morena holds the lead in the Veracruz Congress election market at 56% amid preliminary results showing its coalition with PT and PVEM securing 26 of the local seats through majority-relative and plurinominal routes, outpacing opposition alliances. Vote tallies with 97% of acts processed give the coalition 36.1% statewide, ahead of PAN at 15% and PRI at 10%, translating to dominance in most districts while the opposition captured just four. This performance aligns with Morena's established base in the state and recent legislative control, including the new Mesa Directiva. Fragmented opposition voting and limited recent polling shifts have kept other parties' implied probabilities clustered lower, with traders viewing the outcome as largely settled pending final certification and any recounts in tight districts.