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World·Slovenia Election

Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election

Market icon
World·Slovenia Election

Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election

70–75% 99.4%

<60% <1%

65–70% <1%

60–65% <1%

Polymarket

$242,873 Vol.

70–75% 99.4%

<60% <1%

65–70% <1%

60–65% <1%

Polymarket

$242,873 Vol.

<60%

$25,382 Vol.

1%

60–65%

$23,053 Vol.

<1%

65–70%

$90,231 Vol.

<1%

70–75%

$93,348 Vol.

99%

75%+

$10,858 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian Government, specifically the State Election Commission (https://www.dvk-rs.si/volitve-in-referendumi/drzavni-zbor-rs/).Official voter turnout for Slovenia's March 22, 2026, National Assembly election stands at 70.25% according to the State Election Commission, driving near-certain trader consensus (99.5%) on the 70–75% outcome amid a razor-thin race that boosted participation to match 2022's 70.96% level—far above 2018's 52.64%. Incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement secured 29 seats to Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party's 28 in the 90-seat chamber under proportional representation, producing a hung parliament and intensifying coalition negotiations ahead of the April 10 constitutive session. While final validations could yield minor adjustments from overseas or mail-in ballots, certification solidifies the result, with historical stability around 70% reinforcing low upset risk.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian Government, specifically the State Election Commission (https://www.dvk-rs.si/volitve-in-referendumi/drzavni-zbor-rs/).
Volume
$242,873
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 11:32 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian Government, specifically the State Election Commission (https://www.dvk-rs.si/volitve-in-referendumi/drzavni-zbor-rs/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian Government, specifically the State Election Commission (https://www.dvk-rs.si/volitve-in-referendumi/drzavni-zbor-rs/).Official voter turnout for Slovenia's March 22, 2026, National Assembly election stands at 70.25% according to the State Election Commission, driving near-certain trader consensus (99.5%) on the 70–75% outcome amid a razor-thin race that boosted participation to match 2022's 70.96% level—far above 2018's 52.64%. Incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement secured 29 seats to Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party's 28 in the 90-seat chamber under proportional representation, producing a hung parliament and intensifying coalition negotiations ahead of the April 10 constitutive session. While final validations could yield minor adjustments from overseas or mail-in ballots, certification solidifies the result, with historical stability around 70% reinforcing low upset risk.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian Government, specifically the State Election Commission (https://www.dvk-rs.si/volitve-in-referendumi/drzavni-zbor-rs/).
Volume
$242,873
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 11:32 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian Government, specifically the State Election Commission (https://www.dvk-rs.si/volitve-in-referendumi/drzavni-zbor-rs/).

Related

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Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 25-29 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?

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Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

35%
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Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?

23%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "70–75%" at 99%, followed by "<60%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election" has generated $242.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election" is "70–75%" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<60%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.