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World·Slovenia Election

Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election

Market icon
World·Slovenia Election

Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election

70–75% 93.9%

65–70% 5.9%

<60% <1%

60–65% <1%

Polymarket

$187,974 Vol.

70–75% 93.9%

65–70% 5.9%

<60% <1%

60–65% <1%

Polymarket

$187,974 Vol.

<60%

$22,082 Vol.

<1%

60–65%

$23,053 Vol.

<1%

65–70%

$60,370 Vol.

6%

70–75%

$71,625 Vol.

94%

75%+

$10,843 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian Government, specifically the State Election Commission (https://www.dvk-rs.si/volitve-in-referendumi/drzavni-zbor-rs/).Trader consensus heavily favors 70–75% turnout at 93.8% implied probability for Slovenia's March 22 parliamentary election, driven by preliminary results from the State Electoral Commission (DVK) reporting 69.3–69.9% participation amid a fiercely contested race between Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement and Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party. This mirrors the 2022 snap election's 70.96% turnout, spurred by high polarization, anti-incumbent mobilization, and early voting at 50.7% by 4pm—up slightly from prior levels—reflecting sustained voter engagement in proportional representation system battles. The commanding position stems from consistent near-70% tallies across 99%+ counted votes, with fragmented parliament outcomes heightening stakes. Challenges could arise from final adjustments incorporating overseas or provisional ballots pushing below 70%, though historical patterns and current data make significant downward shifts unlikely pending DVK certification.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian Government, specifically the State Election Commission (https://www.dvk-rs.si/volitve-in-referendumi/drzavni-zbor-rs/).
Volume
$187,974
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 11:32 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian Government, specifically the State Election Commission (https://www.dvk-rs.si/volitve-in-referendumi/drzavni-zbor-rs/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian Government, specifically the State Election Commission (https://www.dvk-rs.si/volitve-in-referendumi/drzavni-zbor-rs/).Trader consensus heavily favors 70–75% turnout at 93.8% implied probability for Slovenia's March 22 parliamentary election, driven by preliminary results from the State Electoral Commission (DVK) reporting 69.3–69.9% participation amid a fiercely contested race between Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement and Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party. This mirrors the 2022 snap election's 70.96% turnout, spurred by high polarization, anti-incumbent mobilization, and early voting at 50.7% by 4pm—up slightly from prior levels—reflecting sustained voter engagement in proportional representation system battles. The commanding position stems from consistent near-70% tallies across 99%+ counted votes, with fragmented parliament outcomes heightening stakes. Challenges could arise from final adjustments incorporating overseas or provisional ballots pushing below 70%, though historical patterns and current data make significant downward shifts unlikely pending DVK certification.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian Government, specifically the State Election Commission (https://www.dvk-rs.si/volitve-in-referendumi/drzavni-zbor-rs/).
Volume
$187,974
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 11:32 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian Government, specifically the State Election Commission (https://www.dvk-rs.si/volitve-in-referendumi/drzavni-zbor-rs/).

Related

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Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 25-29 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?

100%
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Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

48%
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Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

82%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "70–75%" at 94%, followed by "65–70%" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election" has generated $188K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election" is "70–75%" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "65–70%" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.