Trump approval rating on June 20?
46.0–46.4% 100.0%
<44.5% <1%
44.5–44.9% <1%
45.0–45.4% <1%
$110,440 Vol.
$110,440 Vol.
Jun 20, 2025
<44.5%
$20,156 Vol.
No
<44.5%
$20,156 Vol.
No
44.5–44.9%
$11,880 Vol.
No
44.5–44.9%
$11,880 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$12,805 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$12,805 Vol.
No
45.5–45.9%
$15,273 Vol.
No
45.5–45.9%
$15,273 Vol.
No
46.0–46.4%
$32,163 Vol.
Yes
46.0–46.4%
$32,163 Vol.
Yes
≥46.5%
$18,163 Vol.
No
≥46.5%
$18,163 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 20, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 20, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: Jun 13, 2025, 7:04 PM ET
Volume
$110,440End Date
Jun 20, 2025Created At
Jun 13, 2025, 7:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trump approval rating on June 20?
46.0–46.4% 100.0%
<44.5% <1%
44.5–44.9% <1%
45.0–45.4% <1%
$110,440 Vol.
$110,440 Vol.
Jun 20, 2025
<44.5%
$20,156 Vol.
No
44.5–44.9%
$11,880 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$12,805 Vol.
No
45.5–45.9%
$15,273 Vol.
No
46.0–46.4%
$32,163 Vol.
Yes
≥46.5%
$18,163 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$110,440End Date
Jun 20, 2025Created At
Jun 13, 2025, 7:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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